AI Model Win Probability
REDHAWKS
100%
BULLDOGS
0%
REDHAWKS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-38.0
GONZAGA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +38.0 points (Gonzaga)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GONZ -38.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GONZ)
SEA By 1-7 points
0.0%
SEA By 8-14 points
0.0%
GONZ By 1-7 points
0.1%
GONZ By 8-14 points
0.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle U
54
SEATTLE U
Gonzaga
92
GONZAGA
Simulated Score
Seattle U
67
SEATTLE U
Gonzaga
88
GONZAGA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (-24.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -38.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 17, 2026
GONZ @ SEA
71 - 50
Jan 2, 2026
SEA @ GONZ
72 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+79.8% more
Gonzaga: 22.8
vs
Seattle U: 12.7
Rebounding (L5)
+16.6% more
Gonzaga: 42.1
vs
Seattle U: 36.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+14.2%
Gonzaga: 54.1%
vs
Seattle U: 39.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+14.2%
Gonzaga: 43.7%
vs
Seattle U: 29.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
54.0
72
GONZ Score
92.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.7 / 29.5
27.0 / 33.0
Assists
22.8 / 12.7
14.0 / 14.0
Blocks
3.6 / 7.1
9.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
54.1 / 39.9
49.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
67.3 / 77.0
72.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
42.1 / 36.1
40.0 / 41.0
Steals
7.4 / 9.3
11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 10.6
12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
GONZ
Advantage
31-4-0
(88.6%)
Margin: 18.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
15-17-1
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
GONZ
Advantage
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: 18.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -4.8
GONZ
10-25-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4%
Total +/-: -5.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GONZ
SEA
GONZ
SEA
ML
71%
25-10
46%
16-19
69%
20-9
71%
24-10
ATS
69%
24-11
57%
20-15
69%
20-9
71%
24-10
TTL
57%
20-15
49%
17-18
100%
29-0
100%
34-0