Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Knights @ Wolves BELL @ WGA

BELLARMINE

KNIGHTSBELL

5-7  |  Road

85
FINAL
Thu, Jan 1 • 7:00 PM ET
The Coliseum
View Odds Details →

WEST GEORGIA

WOLVESWGA

6-6  |  Home

87
AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
0%
📊
WOLVES
100%
KNIGHTS --
WOLVES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
BELLARMINE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Bellarmine)
KnightsBELL (-3.5) 0 WolvesWGA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knights Cover

98.2%

Wolves Cover

1.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BELL -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BELL)

BELL By 1-7 points

6.8%

BELL By 8-14 points

16.9%

WGA By 1-7 points

1.4%

WGA By 8-14 points

0.2%

AI Model Projected Score
85
BELLARMINE
64
WEST GEORGIA
Simulated Score
74
BELLARMINE
78
WEST GEORGIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knights Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wolves Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Knights (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim Wolves (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 28, 2026 WGA @ BELL 74 - 77
Jan 1, 2026 BELL @ WGA 85 - 87
Feb 15, 2025 WGA @ BELL 81 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +23.1% more
Bellarmine: 15.9 vs West Georgia: 12.2
Field Goal % (L5) +11.0%
Bellarmine: 51.3% vs West Georgia: 40.3%
Free Throw % (L5) +5.8%
Bellarmine: 86.7% vs West Georgia: 80.9%
Blocks (L5) +466.0% more
West Georgia: 5.5 vs Bellarmine: 0.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BELL Score 85.0 85
WGA Score 64.0 87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.7 / 37.3 31.0 / 31.0
Assists 12.2 / 15.9 19.0 / 13.0
Blocks 5.5 / 0.8 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 40.3 / 51.3 40.0 / 58.0
Free Throw % 80.9 / 86.7 81.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 36.8 / 30.1 38.0 / 33.0
Steals 7.1 / 7.1 4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 14.4 / 12.5 5.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
78%MONEY22%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
79%MONEY21%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
44%MONEY56%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BELL
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +1.7
WGA Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BELL
17-12-1 (58.6%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +1.7
WGA Advantage
21-9-0 (70.0%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
BELL
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +9.2
WGA
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WGA
BELL
WGA
BELL
ML
58% 18-13
72% 23-9
61% 19-12
94% 29-2
ATS
71% 22-9
72% 23-9
61% 19-12
94% 29-2
TTL
55% 17-14
50% 16-16
100% 31-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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