STETSON
HATTERSSTET
4-9 | Road
70
NORTH ALABAMA
LIONSUNA
5-6 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
HATTERS
100%
LIONS
0%
HATTERS
--
LIONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
NORTH ALABAMA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (North Alabama)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNA -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNA)
STET By 1-7 points
4.0%
STET By 8-14 points
0.8%
UNA By 1-7 points
13.7%
UNA By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Stetson
69
STETSON
North Alabama
85
NORTH ALABAMA
Simulated Score
Stetson
68
STETSON
North Alabama
75
NORTH ALABAMA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Lions
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lions
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Lions (-9.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Lions (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o142.5
Loss
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 31, 2026
UNA @ STET
68 - 66
Jan 1, 2026
STET @ UNA
70 - 67
Jan 11, 2025
UNA @ STET
92 - 64
Feb 1, 2024
STET @ UNA
72 - 79
Feb 2, 2023
UNA @ STET
57 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+143.9% more
North Alabama: 4.4
vs
Stetson: 1.8
Rebounding (L5)
+14.0% more
North Alabama: 36.1
vs
Stetson: 31.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.7%
North Alabama: 68.5%
vs
Stetson: 63.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.6%
North Alabama: 28.6%
vs
Stetson: 25.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STET Score
69.0
70
UNA Score
85.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.6 / 25.9
21.0 / 27.0
Assists
9.8 / 11.5
5.0 / 17.0
Blocks
4.4 / 1.8
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
38.4 / 39.9
41.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
68.5 / 63.8
69.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
36.1 / 31.7
35.0 / 32.0
Steals
5.7 / 5.9
11.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 13.7
12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STET
Advantage
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: +2.0
UNA
9-21-0
(30.0%)
Margin: -8.2
ATS +/-: -4.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STET
Advantage
18-13-0
(58.1%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: +2.0
UNA
10-17-1
(37.0%)
Margin: -8.2
ATS +/-: -4.3
⚖️ Over/Under
STET
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: +1.6
UNA
12-16-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNA
STET
UNA
STET
ML
43%
13-17
55%
18-15
57%
16-12
73%
24-9
ATS
60%
18-12
64%
21-12
57%
16-12
73%
24-9
TTL
63%
19-11
61%
20-13
100%
28-0
100%
33-0
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