Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Screaming Eagles @ Cougars USI @ SIUE

SOUTHERN INDIANA

SCREAMING EAGLESUSI

3-9  |  Road

55
FINAL
Thu, Jan 1 • 4:30 PM ET
First Community Arena
View Odds Details →

SIU EDWARDSVILLE

COUGARSSIUE

8-5  |  Home

59
AI Model Win Probability
SCREAMING EAGLES
100%
📊
COUGARS
0%
SCREAMING EAGLES --
COUGARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-35.0
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +35.0 points (SIU Edwardsville)
Screaming EaglesUSI (-3.5) 0 CougarsSIUE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Screaming Eagles Cover

0.0%

Cougars Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SIUE -35.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SIUE)

USI By 1-7 points

0.0%

USI By 8-14 points

0.0%

SIUE By 1-7 points

0.3%

SIUE By 8-14 points

1.7%

AI Model Projected Score
49
SOUTHERN INDIANA
84
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
Simulated Score
70
SOUTHERN INDIANA
72
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cougars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cougars Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cougars (-10.5) Win
Proj Spread: -35.0
D
Sim Cougars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u136.5 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim u136.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 31, 2026 SIUE @ USI 58 - 46
Jan 1, 2026 USI @ SIUE 55 - 59
Feb 22, 2025 SIUE @ USI 68 - 82
Jan 23, 2025 USI @ SIUE 76 - 82
Feb 10, 2024 SIUE @ USI 67 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +47.7% more
SIU Edwardsville: 8.5 vs Southern Indiana: 5.7
Assists (L5) +42.4% more
SIU Edwardsville: 14.0 vs Southern Indiana: 9.8
Turnovers (L5) +15.1% more
SIU Edwardsville: 12.5 vs Southern Indiana: 10.8
Free Throw % (L5) +8.6%
SIU Edwardsville: 72.3% vs Southern Indiana: 63.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
USI Score 49.0 55
SIUE Score 84.0 59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.2 / 34.7 46.0 / 30.0
Assists 14.0 / 9.8 8.0 / 7.0
Blocks 3.3 / 5.0 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 42.9 / 36.0 36.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 72.3 / 63.6 58.0 / 52.0
Rebounding 33.5 / 37.4 42.0 / 38.0
Steals 8.5 / 5.7 11.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 12.5 / 10.8 15.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
7%MONEY93%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
47%MONEY53%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
56%MONEY44%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
USI
7-23-0 (23.3%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
SIUE Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 6.3 ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
USI
11-16-1 (40.7%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
SIUE Advantage
15-14-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 6.3 ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
USI
11-17-0
O: 39.3% / U: 60.7% Total +/-: -3.3
SIUE
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1% Total +/-: -4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SIUE
USI
SIUE
USI
ML
65% 20-11
67% 20-10
60% 18-12
61% 17-11
ATS
55% 17-14
70% 21-9
60% 18-12
61% 17-11
TTL
48% 15-16
73% 22-8
100% 30-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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