Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Eagles @ Fighting Hawks ORU @ UND

ORAL ROBERTS

GOLDEN EAGLESORU

5-10  |  Road

61
FINAL
Thu, Jan 1 • 2:00 PM ET
Betty Engelstad Sioux Center
View Odds Details →

NORTH DAKOTA

FIGHTING HAWKSUND

6-10  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
📊
FIGHTING HAWKS
0%
GOLDEN EAGLES --
FIGHTING HAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-36.0
NORTH DAKOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +36.0 points (North Dakota)
Golden EaglesORU (-3.5) 0 Fighting HawksUND (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Eagles Cover

0.0%

Fighting Hawks Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UND -36.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UND)

ORU By 1-7 points

0.0%

ORU By 8-14 points

0.0%

UND By 1-7 points

0.2%

UND By 8-14 points

1.4%

AI Model Projected Score
46
ORAL ROBERTS
82
NORTH DAKOTA
Simulated Score
70
ORAL ROBERTS
75
NORTH DAKOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Fighting Hawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Fighting Hawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Fighting Hawks (-2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Sim Fighting Hawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 22, 2026 UND @ ORU 79 - 62
Jan 1, 2026 ORU @ UND 61 - 72
Feb 15, 2025 ORU @ UND 77 - 88
Jan 11, 2025 UND @ ORU 79 - 83
Feb 17, 2024 UND @ ORU 78 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +102.8% more
North Dakota: 2.9 vs Oral Roberts: 1.4
Assists (L5) +27.8% more
North Dakota: 12.5 vs Oral Roberts: 9.8
Rebounding (L5) +10.9% more
North Dakota: 35.4 vs Oral Roberts: 32.0
Field Goal % (L5) +4.0%
North Dakota: 41.9% vs Oral Roberts: 37.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ORU Score 46.0 61
UND Score 82.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.1 / 28.0 44.0 / 21.0
Assists 12.5 / 9.8 8.0 / 13.0
Blocks 2.9 / 1.4 1.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 41.9 / 37.9 40.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 74.2 / 77.6 68.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 35.4 / 32.0 44.0 / 32.0
Steals 8.1 / 7.5 5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 9.9 / 14.1 14.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
20%MONEY80%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
41%MONEY59%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
68%MONEY32%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORU
10-23-0 (30.3%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.1
UND Advantage
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: +1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORU
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.1
UND Advantage
21-11-0 (65.6%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: +1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
ORU
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -0.7
UND
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UND
ORU
UND
ORU
ML
44% 15-19
85% 28-5
50% 17-17
73% 24-9
ATS
50% 17-17
82% 27-6
50% 17-17
73% 24-9
TTL
65% 22-12
61% 20-13
100% 34-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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