OAKLAND
GOLDEN GRIZZLIESOAK
6-8 | Road
85
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
PENGUINSYSU
8-6 | Home
83
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES
0%
PENGUINS
100%
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES
--
PENGUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
116.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
OAKLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Oakland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OAK -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OAK)
OAK By 1-7 points
20.1%
OAK By 8-14 points
27.2%
YSU By 1-7 points
8.0%
YSU By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Oakland
64
OAKLAND
Youngstown State
52
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Simulated Score
Oakland
73
OAKLAND
Youngstown State
78
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Grizzlies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Golden Grizzlies (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Penguins (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u156.5
Loss
Proj Total: 116.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 12, 2026
YSU @ OAK
86 - 82
Jan 1, 2026
OAK @ YSU
85 - 83
Feb 6, 2025
YSU @ OAK
84 - 75
Dec 7, 2024
OAK @ YSU
50 - 66
Jan 17, 2024
YSU @ OAK
67 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.4%
Oakland: 75.6%
vs
Youngstown State: 70.2%
Blocks (L5)
+61.6% more
Youngstown State: 4.2
vs
Oakland: 2.6
Steals (L5)
+19.6% more
Youngstown State: 8.8
vs
Oakland: 7.4
Rebounding (L5)
+10.0% more
Youngstown State: 36.8
vs
Oakland: 33.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OAK Score
64.0
85
YSU Score
52.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.7 / 32.6
29.0 / 53.0
Assists
13.4 / 12.9
17.0 / 17.0
Blocks
4.2 / 2.6
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.6 / 43.4
43.0 / 55.0
Free Throw %
70.2 / 75.6
75.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
36.8 / 33.5
36.0 / 32.0
Steals
8.8 / 7.4
4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.6 / 11.9
7.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OAK
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: -0.1
YSU
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OAK
Advantage
17-14-0
(54.8%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: -0.1
YSU
10-18-1
(35.7%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
OAK
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7%
Total +/-: +4.0
YSU
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
YSU
OAK
YSU
OAK
ML
57%
17-13
62%
20-12
67%
20-10
59%
19-13
ATS
47%
14-16
50%
16-16
67%
20-10
59%
19-13
TTL
60%
18-12
62%
20-12
100%
30-0
100%
32-0
