MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
21-12 | Road
102
ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
15-19 | Home
126
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
HAWKS
100%
TIMBERWOLVES
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
210.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIN -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
MIN By 1-7 points
10.7%
MIN By 8-14 points
21.6%
ATL By 1-7 points
2.7%
ATL By 8-14 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
114
MINNESOTA
Atlanta
96
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
Minnesota
112
MINNESOTA
Atlanta
118
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves (+6)
Loss
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u240.0
Win
Proj Total: 210.0
D
Sim
u240.0
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 9, 2026
ATL @ MIN
116 - 138
Dec 31, 2025
MIN @ ATL
102 - 126
Jan 27, 2025
ATL @ MIN
92 - 100
Dec 23, 2024
MIN @ ATL
104 - 117
Apr 12, 2024
ATL @ MIN
106 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+41.8% more
Minnesota: 6.9
vs
Atlanta: 4.0
Steals (L5)
+11.3% more
Minnesota: 9.3
vs
Atlanta: 8.2
Rebounding (L5)
+11.2% more
Minnesota: 43.7
vs
Atlanta: 38.8
Turnovers (L5)
+54.5% more
Atlanta: 15.1
vs
Minnesota: 9.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
114.0
102
ATL Score
96.0
126
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.9 / 36.7
38.0 / 35.0
Assists
32.1 / 28.8
38.0 / 22.0
Blocks
4.0 / 6.9
4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
47.8 / 48.2
49.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
77.3 / 73.6
50.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
38.8 / 43.7
49.0 / 46.0
Steals
8.2 / 9.3
9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
15.1 / 9.8
10.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
ATL
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
ATL
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
MIN
ATL
MIN
ML
50%
52-52
54%
63-53
55%
48-40
54%
50-43
ATS
53%
55-48-1
58%
67-49
55%
48-40
54%
50-43
TTL
53%
55-48-1
63%
72-43-1
100%
88-0
100%
93-0
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