NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
23-9 | Road
132
SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
23-9 | Home
134
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
SPURS
100%
KNICKS
--
SPURS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
SAN ANTONIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SA +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SA)
NY By 1-7 points
26.8%
NY By 8-14 points
18.6%
SA By 1-7 points
23.0%
SA By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
112
NEW YORK
San Antonio
110
SAN ANTONIO
Simulated Score
New York
105
NEW YORK
San Antonio
112
SAN ANTONIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knicks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spurs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Spurs (+3)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Spurs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u234.5
Loss
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Sim
u234.5
Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 13, 2026
NY @ SA
94 - 90
Jun 10, 2026
SA @ NY
106 - 107
Jun 8, 2026
SA @ NY
115 - 111
Jun 5, 2026
NY @ SA
105 - 104
Jun 3, 2026
NY @ SA
105 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+22.1% more
New York: 8.2
vs
San Antonio: 6.4
Assists (L5)
+12.9% more
New York: 29.2
vs
San Antonio: 25.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+11.9%
New York: 41.6%
vs
San Antonio: 29.7%
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.9%
New York: 84.4%
vs
San Antonio: 80.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
112.0
132
SA Score
110.0
134
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.7 / 41.6
37.0 / 42.0
Assists
25.4 / 29.2
25.0 / 32.0
Blocks
4.1 / 3.8
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.3 / 47.0
49.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
80.5 / 84.4
80.0 / 90.0
Rebounding
48.9 / 47.2
48.0 / 40.0
Steals
6.4 / 8.2
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
14.0 / 12.7
11.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SA
NY
SA
NY
ML
60%
111-73
61%
114-72
58%
61-44
56%
57-45
ATS
58%
107-76-1
67%
124-62
58%
61-44
56%
57-45
TTL
74%
134-47-3
72%
133-53
100%
105-0
100%
102-0
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