TOWSON
TIGERSTOW
8-6 | Road
62
HAMPTON
PIRATESHAMP
7-7 | Home
63
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
PIRATES
100%
TIGERS
--
PIRATES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
HAMPTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HAMP +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HAMP)
TOW By 1-7 points
27.4%
TOW By 8-14 points
21.6%
HAMP By 1-7 points
20.1%
HAMP By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Towson
66
TOWSON
Hampton
62
HAMPTON
Simulated Score
Towson
74
TOWSON
Hampton
68
HAMPTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pirates (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim
Tigers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u137.5
Win
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim
u137.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
HAMP @ TOW
68 - 74
Jan 31, 2026
HAMP @ TOW
50 - 82
Dec 31, 2025
TOW @ HAMP
62 - 63
Mar 1, 2025
HAMP @ TOW
72 - 75
Feb 17, 2024
TOW @ HAMP
61 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+26.4% more
Towson: 3.7
vs
Hampton: 2.7
Rebounding (L5)
+15.9% more
Towson: 40.4
vs
Hampton: 34.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.3%
Towson: 29.6%
vs
Hampton: 27.3%
Steals (L5)
+25.1% more
Hampton: 8.9
vs
Towson: 7.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOW Score
66.0
62
HAMP Score
62.0
63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.3 / 29.6
25.0 / 16.0
Assists
12.7 / 12.9
10.0 / 7.0
Blocks
2.7 / 3.7
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.4 / 44.2
46.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
68.6 / 62.5
75.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
34.0 / 40.4
34.0 / 34.0
Steals
8.9 / 7.1
5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 11.8
12.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOW
Advantage
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.8
HAMP
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -0.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOW
14-17-1
(45.2%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.8
HAMP
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -0.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
TOW
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6%
Total +/-: -5.5
HAMP
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HAMP
TOW
HAMP
TOW
ML
53%
17-15
66%
21-11
75%
24-8
62%
20-12
ATS
50%
16-16
66%
21-11
75%
24-8
62%
20-12
TTL
68%
21-10-1
53%
17-15
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
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