RICE
OWLSRICE
6-7 | Road
48
TULSA
GOLDEN HURRICANETLSA
12-1 | Home
97
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
0%
GOLDEN HURRICANE
100%
OWLS
--
GOLDEN HURRICANE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
182.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
TULSA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TLSA +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TLSA)
RICE By 1-7 points
27.4%
RICE By 8-14 points
21.6%
TLSA By 1-7 points
20.1%
TLSA By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Rice
93
RICE
Tulsa
89
TULSA
Simulated Score
Rice
68
RICE
Tulsa
72
TULSA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Owls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Hurricane
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Hurricane (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim
Golden Hurricane (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o152.5
Loss
Proj Total: 182.0
D
Sim
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 24, 2026
TLSA @ RICE
87 - 81
Dec 31, 2025
RICE @ TLSA
48 - 97
Feb 22, 2025
TLSA @ RICE
50 - 71
Jan 1, 2025
RICE @ TLSA
70 - 64
Feb 17, 2024
RICE @ TLSA
82 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+43.8% more
Rice: 4.1
vs
Tulsa: 2.3
Turnovers (L5)
+17.2% more
Rice: 12.0
vs
Tulsa: 9.9
Steals (L5)
+22.4% more
Tulsa: 9.2
vs
Rice: 7.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.8%
Tulsa: 77.2%
vs
Rice: 69.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RICE Score
93.0
48
TLSA Score
89.0
97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.1 / 34.0
68.0 / 22.0
Assists
14.7 / 13.7
19.0 / 5.0
Blocks
2.3 / 4.1
3.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
47.2 / 42.0
62.0 / 28.0
Free Throw %
77.2 / 69.4
83.0 / 59.0
Rebounding
38.4 / 41.4
43.0 / 26.0
Steals
9.2 / 7.5
9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
9.9 / 12.0
10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RICE
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: -1.4
TLSA
Advantage
30-8-0
(79.0%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: +4.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RICE
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: -1.4
TLSA
Advantage
20-15-1
(57.1%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: +4.3
⚖️ Over/Under
RICE
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4%
Total +/-: +2.4
TLSA
24-12-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TLSA
RICE
TLSA
RICE
ML
66%
25-13
53%
16-14
64%
23-13
53%
16-14
ATS
74%
28-10
60%
18-12
64%
23-13
53%
16-14
TTL
58%
22-16
77%
23-7
100%
36-0
100%
30-0
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