Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Highlanders @ Spartans RAD @ UPST

RADFORD

HIGHLANDERSRAD

7-8  |  Road

76
FINAL
Wed, Dec 31 • 2:00 PM ET
G.B. Hodge Center
View Odds Details →

SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE

SPARTANSUPST

8-7  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
HIGHLANDERS
0%
📊
SPARTANS
100%
HIGHLANDERS --
SPARTANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
175.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
RADFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Radford)
HighlandersRAD (-3.5) 0 SpartansUPST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Highlanders Cover

75.8%

Spartans Cover

24.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around RAD -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RAD)

RAD By 1-7 points

26.2%

RAD By 8-14 points

25.3%

UPST By 1-7 points

15.3%

UPST By 8-14 points

5.8%

AI Model Projected Score
91
RADFORD
84
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
Simulated Score
75
RADFORD
72
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Highlanders Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Highlanders Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Highlanders (-1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Highlanders (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o158.5 Loss
Proj Total: 175.0
D
Sim u158.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 26, 2026 UPST @ RAD 59 - 71
Dec 31, 2025 RAD @ UPST 76 - 69
Feb 1, 2025 UPST @ RAD 69 - 79
Jan 11, 2025 RAD @ UPST 80 - 67
Mar 6, 2024 RAD @ UPST 67 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +47.8% more
Radford: 9.7 vs South Carolina Upstate: 5.1
Blocks (L5) +23.9% more
Radford: 4.3 vs South Carolina Upstate: 3.3
Assists (L5) +20.7% more
Radford: 17.0 vs South Carolina Upstate: 13.5
Turnovers (L5) +14.4% more
Radford: 13.6 vs South Carolina Upstate: 11.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
RAD Score 91.0 76
UPST Score 84.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.7 / 39.6 28.0 / 32.0
Assists 13.5 / 17.0 12.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.3 / 4.3 7.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 45.9 / 48.8 39.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 70.5 / 73.6 75.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 37.1 / 34.7 41.0 / 37.0
Steals 5.1 / 9.7 9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.6 / 13.6 14.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
42%MONEY58%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
60%MONEY40%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RAD Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: -2.2
UPST
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: 0.6 ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RAD Advantage
14-15-0 (48.3%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: -2.2
UPST
13-16-0 (44.8%)
Margin: 0.6 ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
RAD
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: +2.9
UPST
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UPST
RAD
UPST
RAD
ML
61% 19-12
77% 23-7
83% 25-5
76% 22-7
ATS
61% 19-12
63% 19-11
83% 25-5
77% 23-7
TTL
52% 16-15
67% 20-10
100% 30-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
si 1 day, 2 hours ago
Kentucky's AP Poll Exit Exposes Uphill Battle for National Respe…
yahoo 3 days, 2 hours ago
Colorado Buffaloes Playbook Left in Hotel Bar, Found by Texas Te…
si 4 days, 2 hours ago
Lions' Draft Radar: Five College Standouts to Watch in Week 4
si 1 week, 5 days ago
Vin Baker Joins Heat Staff, Cites 'Special Bond' with Giannis: '…
miamiherald 2 weeks ago