Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bison @ Crusaders BUCK @ HC

BUCKNELL

BISONBUCK

3-10  |  Road

58
FINAL
Wed, Dec 31 • 2:00 PM ET
Hart Center
View Odds Details →

HOLY CROSS

CRUSADERSHC

5-8  |  Home

65
AI Model Win Probability
BISON
0%
📊
CRUSADERS
100%
BISON --
CRUSADERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
122.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
BUCKNELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Bucknell)
BisonBUCK (-3.5) 0 CrusadersHC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bison Cover

98.6%

Crusaders Cover

1.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BUCK -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUCK)

BUCK By 1-7 points

5.8%

BUCK By 8-14 points

15.3%

HC By 1-7 points

1.1%

HC By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
72
BUCKNELL
50
HOLY CROSS
Simulated Score
67
BUCKNELL
65
HOLY CROSS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bison Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bison Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bison (+2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim Bison (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u133.5 Win
Proj Total: 122.0
D
Sim u133.5 Win
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 22, 2026 HC @ BUCK 72 - 63
Dec 31, 2025 BUCK @ HC 58 - 65
Mar 1, 2025 BUCK @ HC 94 - 81
Jan 15, 2025 HC @ BUCK 82 - 86
Feb 21, 2024 BUCK @ HC 59 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +43.9% more
Bucknell: 16.1 vs Holy Cross: 9.1
Assists (L5) +14.2% more
Bucknell: 12.0 vs Holy Cross: 10.3
Steals (L5) +8.5% more
Bucknell: 6.6 vs Holy Cross: 6.0
Blocks (L5) +24.7% more
Holy Cross: 1.9 vs Bucknell: 1.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BUCK Score 72.0 58
HC Score 50.0 65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.5 / 25.8 11.0 / 31.0
Assists 10.3 / 12.0 13.0 / 10.0
Blocks 1.9 / 1.5 1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 38.9 / 38.6 48.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 74.1 / 70.4 77.0 / 40.0
Rebounding 30.1 / 27.7 34.0 / 30.0
Steals 6.0 / 6.6 4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 9.1 / 16.1 11.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
82%MONEY18%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
81%MONEY19%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BUCK
10-23-0 (30.3%)
Margin: -8.9 ATS +/-: -3.9
HC Advantage
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BUCK
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -8.9 ATS +/-: -3.9
HC Advantage
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
BUCK
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: +1.3
HC
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HC
BUCK
HC
BUCK
ML
52% 16-15
55% 18-15
61% 19-12
64% 21-12
ATS
55% 17-14
45% 15-18
64% 21-12
64% 21-12
TTL
58% 18-13
61% 20-13
100% 33-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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