CHARLESTON
COUGARSCOFC
8-6 | Road
85
ELON
PHOENIXELON
9-5 | Home
81
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
0%
PHOENIX
100%
COUGARS
--
PHOENIX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
CHARLESTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (Charleston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around COFC -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COFC)
COFC By 1-7 points
2.2%
COFC By 8-14 points
8.0%
ELON By 1-7 points
0.3%
ELON By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Charleston
94
CHARLESTON
Elon
67
ELON
Simulated Score
Charleston
75
CHARLESTON
Elon
68
ELON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cougars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cougars (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim
Cougars (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o155.5
Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim
u155.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 24, 2026
ELON @ COFC
70 - 80
Dec 31, 2025
COFC @ ELON
85 - 81
Feb 8, 2025
ELON @ COFC
83 - 88
Jan 25, 2025
COFC @ ELON
76 - 62
Jan 11, 2024
ELON @ COFC
62 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+15.4% more
Charleston: 3.7
vs
Elon: 3.1
Assists (L5)
+30.4% more
Elon: 16.1
vs
Charleston: 12.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.5%
Elon: 75.9%
vs
Charleston: 66.3%
Turnovers (L5)
+9.4% more
Elon: 13.0
vs
Charleston: 11.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COFC Score
94.0
85
ELON Score
67.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.9 / 29.6
29.0 / 30.0
Assists
16.1 / 12.4
19.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.1 / 3.7
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
52.4 / 49.8
44.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
75.9 / 66.3
65.0 / 90.0
Rebounding
33.8 / 34.6
32.0 / 43.0
Steals
7.2 / 7.2
4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
13.0 / 11.9
6.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COFC
Advantage
21-11-0
(65.6%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
ELON
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COFC
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
ELON
11-19-0
(36.7%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
COFC
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.8
ELON
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ELON
COFC
ELON
COFC
ML
61%
19-12
66%
19-10
71%
22-9
62%
18-11
ATS
55%
17-14
59%
17-12
71%
22-9
62%
18-11
TTL
52%
16-15
68%
19-9-1
100%
31-0
100%
29-0
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