BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
20-18-2 | Road
6
EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
20-14-6 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Alec Regula
#75 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 2.00 | 0.944 | -- |
| Alec Regula | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00
GAA
--
0.944
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
OILERS
0%
BRUINS
--
OILERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Edmonton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around EDM -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
BOS By 1 goal
12.1%
BOS By 2-3 goals
9.3%
EDM By 1 goal
19.7%
EDM By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
3
BOSTON
Edmonton
4
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
Boston
3
BOSTON
Edmonton
4
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Oilers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Oilers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Oilers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Oilers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 31, 2025
BOS @ EDM
6 - 2
Dec 18, 2025
EDM @ BOS
3 - 1
Jan 7, 2025
EDM @ BOS
4 - 0
Dec 19, 2024
BOS @ EDM
2 - 3
Mar 5, 2024
EDM @ BOS
2 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+60.5%
Edmonton: 70.9%
vs
Boston: 10.4%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+18.8% more
Edmonton: 17.7
vs
Boston: 14.9
Hits (L5)
+21.3% more
Boston: 23.4
vs
Edmonton: 18.4
Takeaways (L5)
+8.5% more
Boston: 6.8
vs
Edmonton: 6.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
3.0
6
EDM Score
4.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.7 / 14.9
14.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
53.0 / 52.7
50.8 / 49.2
Hits
18.4 / 23.4
18.0 / 14.0
Power Play %
70.9 / 10.4
0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
25.7 / 24.3
36.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
6.2 / 6.8
4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
BOS
EDM
BOS
ML
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
ATS
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
TTL
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
