JOHNSON & WALES (RI)
GRIFFINSJOHNS
0-0 | Road
47
BROWN
BEARSBRWN
5-7 | Home
105
AI Model Win Probability
GRIFFINS
100%
BEARS
0%
GRIFFINS
--
BEARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
156.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
BROWN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Brown)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BRWN -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BRWN)
JOHNS By 1-7 points
20.1%
JOHNS By 8-14 points
9.3%
BRWN By 1-7 points
27.4%
BRWN By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Johnson & Wales (RI)
76
JOHNSON & WALES (RI)
Brown
80
BROWN
Simulated Score
Johnson & Wales (RI)
52
JOHNSON & WALES (RI)
Brown
88
BROWN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bears
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bears
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bears (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Bears (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o155.5
Loss
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Sim
u155.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 31, 2025
JOHNS @ BRWN
47 - 105
Jan 5, 2025
JOHNS @ BRWN
57 - 98
Nov 16, 2021
JOHNS @ BRWN
47 - 98
Jan 7, 2020
JOHNS @ BRWN
53 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+77.0% more
Brown: 17.6
vs
Johnson & Wales (RI): 10.0
Rebounding (L5)
+60.0% more
Brown: 38.9
vs
Johnson & Wales (RI): 24.3
Steals (L5)
+52.8% more
Brown: 10.3
vs
Johnson & Wales (RI): 6.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+34.8%
Brown: 69.6%
vs
Johnson & Wales (RI): 34.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
JOHNS Score
76.0
47
BRWN Score
80.0
105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.0 / 28.5
44.0 / 18.0
Assists
17.6 / 10.0
24.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.6 / 2.7
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.8 / 35.2
52.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
69.6 / 34.8
65.0 / 89.0
Rebounding
38.9 / 24.3
54.0 / 22.0
Steals
10.3 / 6.8
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.8 / 15.1
7.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JOHNS
--
BRWN
Advantage
9-18-0
(33.3%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JOHNS
--
BRWN
Advantage
14-12-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
JOHNS
--
BRWN
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRWN
JOHNS
BRWN
JOHNS
ML
56%
15-12
100%
2-0
67%
18-9
100%
2-0
ATS
59%
16-11
100%
2-0
67%
18-9
100%
2-0
TTL
59%
16-11
50%
1-1
100%
27-0
100%
2-0
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