NEW JERSEY
DEVILSNJ
20-16-2 | Road
0
TORONTO
MAPLE LEAFSTOR
17-15-6 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Colton White
#45 | D@
GOALTENDER
Troy Stecher
#28 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colton White | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Troy Stecher | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
DEVILS
100%
MAPLE LEAFS
0%
DEVILS
--
MAPLE LEAFS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around TOR -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
NJ By 1 goal
0.9%
NJ By 2-3 goals
0.3%
TOR By 1 goal
6.6%
TOR By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
New Jersey
1
NEW JERSEY
Toronto
5
TORONTO
Simulated Score
New Jersey
3
NEW JERSEY
Toronto
4
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Maple Leafs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Maple Leafs
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Maple Leafs (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim
Maple Leafs (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 4, 2026
TOR @ NJ
3 - 4
Dec 30, 2025
NJ @ TOR
0 - 4
Oct 21, 2025
NJ @ TOR
5 - 2
Jan 16, 2025
NJ @ TOR
3 - 4
Dec 10, 2024
TOR @ NJ
2 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+49.5% more
Toronto: 24.7
vs
New Jersey: 16.5
Power Play % (L5)
+15.6%
Toronto: 33.4%
vs
New Jersey: 17.8%
Takeaways (L5)
+9.1% more
Toronto: 5.1
vs
New Jersey: 4.6
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.7%
Toronto: 51.5%
vs
New Jersey: 48.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NJ Score
1.0
0
TOR Score
5.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
10.8 / 13.2
16.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
51.5 / 48.8
55.8 / 44.2
Hits
24.7 / 16.5
18.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
33.4 / 17.8
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.8 / 32.4
30.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
5.1 / 4.6
2.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
NJ
TOR
NJ
ML
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
0%
0-4
0%
0-3
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
TTL
100%
4-0
0%
0-2-1
75%
3-1
50%
1-1-1
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