Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Catamounts @ Tigers UVM @ PRIN

VERMONT

CATAMOUNTSUVM

8-6  |  Road

69
FINAL
Tue, Dec 30 • 1:00 PM ET
Jadwin Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

PRINCETON

TIGERSPRIN

3-11  |  Home

75
AI Model Win Probability
CATAMOUNTS
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
CATAMOUNTS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
PRINCETON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Princeton)
CatamountsUVM (-3.5) 0 TigersPRIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Catamounts Cover

18.4%

Tigers Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PRIN -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PRIN)

UVM By 1-7 points

12.2%

UVM By 8-14 points

4.0%

PRIN By 1-7 points

24.3%

PRIN By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
63
VERMONT
72
PRINCETON
Simulated Score
68
VERMONT
71
PRINCETON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u137.5 Loss
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim u137.5 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 30, 2025 UVM @ PRIN 69 - 75
Nov 26, 2025 UVM @ PRIN 79 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +33.9% more
Princeton: 10.2 vs Vermont: 7.6
Assists (L5) +11.8% more
Princeton: 12.3 vs Vermont: 11.0
Blocks (L5) +9.7% more
Vermont: 2.5 vs Princeton: 2.2
Field Goal % (L5) +7.2%
Vermont: 46.1% vs Princeton: 38.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UVM Score 63.0 69
PRIN Score 72.0 75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.4 / 28.4 42.0 / 31.0
Assists 12.3 / 11.0 16.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.2 / 2.5 0.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 38.9 / 46.1 43.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 73.9 / 72.6 84.0 / 81.0
Rebounding 34.5 / 33.4 33.0 / 37.0
Steals 4.3 / 4.5 7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 10.2 / 7.6 11.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
84%MONEY16%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
61%MONEY39%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
69%MONEY31%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UVM Advantage
22-12-0 (64.7%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: -2.4
PRIN
9-20-0 (31.0%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UVM
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: -2.4
PRIN Advantage
16-12-0 (57.1%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
UVM
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.9
PRIN
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6% Total +/-: -2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PRIN
UVM
PRIN
UVM
ML
45% 13-16
56% 19-15
62% 18-11
65% 22-12
ATS
48% 14-15
62% 21-13
62% 18-11
65% 22-12
TTL
72% 21-8
47% 16-18
100% 29-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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