Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Broncos @ Pilots SCU @ PORT

SANTA CLARA

BRONCOSSCU

10-4  |  Road

92
FINAL
Tue, Dec 30 • 10:00 PM ET
Chiles Center
View Odds Details →

PORTLAND

PILOTSPORT

7-7  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
BRONCOS
100%
📊
PILOTS
0%
BRONCOS --
PILOTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
PORTLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Portland)
BroncosSCU (-3.5) 0 PilotsPORT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Broncos Cover

15.9%

Pilots Cover

84.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PORT -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PORT)

SCU By 1-7 points

10.7%

SCU By 8-14 points

3.3%

PORT By 1-7 points

23.0%

PORT By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
65
SANTA CLARA
75
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
69
SANTA CLARA
78
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Pilots Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pilots Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Pilots (+13.5) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Pilots (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u156.5 Loss
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 30, 2025 SCU @ PORT 92 - 85
Feb 6, 2025 SCU @ PORT 97 - 50
Feb 29, 2024 SCU @ PORT 75 - 80
Jan 20, 2024 PORT @ SCU 86 - 101
Feb 18, 2023 SCU @ PORT 103 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +8.1% more
Portland: 35.8 vs Santa Clara: 33.1
Steals (L5) +33.6% more
Santa Clara: 8.5 vs Portland: 5.7
Assists (L5) +18.4% more
Santa Clara: 18.6 vs Portland: 15.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.8%
Santa Clara: 39.3% vs Portland: 28.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SCU Score 65.0 92
PORT Score 75.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.5 / 39.3 35.0 / 37.0
Assists 15.1 / 18.6 23.0 / 21.0
Blocks 3.5 / 3.5 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 42.1 / 49.4 59.0 / 54.0
Free Throw % 67.0 / 71.9 63.0 / 82.0
Rebounding 35.8 / 33.1 25.0 / 28.0
Steals 5.7 / 8.5 9.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 12.0 / 11.9 15.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
95%TICKETS5%
80%MONEY20%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
65%MONEY35%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
52%MONEY48%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SCU Advantage
26-9-0 (74.3%)
Margin: 10.0 ATS +/-: +2.6
PORT
15-19-0 (44.1%)
Margin: -4.1 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SCU Advantage
17-16-1 (51.5%)
Margin: 10.0 ATS +/-: +2.6
PORT
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -4.1 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
SCU
20-13-1
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +4.0
PORT
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PORT
SCU
PORT
SCU
ML
48% 16-17
44% 15-19
82% 27-6
73% 22-8
ATS
67% 22-11
53% 18-16
82% 28-6
74% 23-8
TTL
55% 18-15
47% 16-18
100% 34-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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