WASHINGTON STATE
COUGARSWSU
6-8 | Road
55
SEATTLE U
REDHAWKSSEA
11-3 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
0%
REDHAWKS
100%
COUGARS
--
REDHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
156.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+6.0
SEATTLE U
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SEA +6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
WSU By 1-7 points
26.8%
WSU By 8-14 points
24.3%
SEA By 1-7 points
16.9%
SEA By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington State
81
WASHINGTON STATE
Seattle U
75
SEATTLE U
Simulated Score
Washington State
68
WASHINGTON STATE
Seattle U
75
SEATTLE U
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cougars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Redhawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Redhawks (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +6.0
D
Sim
Redhawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o144.5
Loss
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 28, 2026
SEA @ WSU
58 - 70
Dec 30, 2025
WSU @ SEA
55 - 69
Nov 12, 2021
SEA @ WSU
61 - 79
Nov 7, 2019
SEA @ WSU
54 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+24.6% more
Washington State: 13.7
vs
Seattle U: 10.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+14.2%
Washington State: 37.5%
vs
Seattle U: 23.3%
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.7%
Washington State: 45.0%
vs
Seattle U: 38.4%
Blocks (L5)
+82.9% more
Seattle U: 6.2
vs
Washington State: 3.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSU Score
81.0
55
SEA Score
75.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
23.3 / 37.5
42.0 / 15.0
Assists
12.0 / 12.9
14.0 / 5.0
Blocks
6.2 / 3.4
9.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
38.4 / 45.0
43.0 / 30.0
Free Throw %
77.5 / 67.7
76.0 / 57.0
Rebounding
40.2 / 38.5
28.0 / 54.0
Steals
7.9 / 6.1
12.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
10.4 / 13.7
11.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSU
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
SEA
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSU
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
SEA
15-17-1
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
WSU
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +2.0
SEA
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
WSU
SEA
WSU
ML
46%
16-19
78%
25-7
71%
24-10
69%
20-9
ATS
57%
20-15
78%
25-7
71%
24-10
69%
20-9
TTL
49%
17-18
62%
20-12
100%
34-0
100%
29-0
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