SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
1-3 | Road
106
UTAH
JAZZUTAH
0-4 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
SPURS
0%
JAZZ
100%
SPURS
--
JAZZ
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
212.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
SAN ANTONIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (San Antonio)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SA -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SA)
SA By 1-7 points
25.5%
SA By 8-14 points
15.6%
UTAH By 1-7 points
25.2%
UTAH By 8-14 points
15.1%
AI Model Projected Score
San Antonio
106.33
SAN ANTONIO
Utah
106.18
UTAH
Simulated Score
San Antonio
SAN ANTONIO
Utah
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Spurs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Spurs (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -0.1
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 212.5
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 22, 2026
SA @ UTAH
126 - 109
Jan 19, 2026
UTAH @ SA
110 - 123
Dec 27, 2025
UTAH @ SA
127 - 114
Oct 10, 2025
UTAH @ SA
130 - 134
Nov 26, 2024
SA @ UTAH
128 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+10.1% more
San Antonio: 24.7
vs
Utah: 22.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.1%
San Antonio: 44.5%
vs
Utah: 39.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.9%
San Antonio: 33.3%
vs
Utah: 29.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SA Score
106.3
106
UTAH Score
106.2
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.4 / 33.3
21.9 / 27.9
Assists
22.2 / 24.7
19.0 / 25.0
Blocks
5.7 / 5.5
6.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
39.3 / 44.5
39.0 / 41.3
Free Throw %
80.7 / 80.5
89.5 / 78.3
Rebounding
45.4 / 49.2
53.0 / 42.0
Steals
6.9 / 6.5
6.0 / 17.0
Turnovers
18.4 / 18.6
26.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
UTAH
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
SA
UTAH
SA
ML
60%
96-63
60%
111-73
48%
40-43
58%
61-44
ATS
68%
108-51
58%
107-76-1
48%
40-43
58%
61-44
TTL
75%
119-39-1
74%
134-47-3
100%
83-0
100%
105-0
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