Home / NBA Projections NBA / Timberwolves @ Spurs MIN @ SA

MINNESOTA

TIMBERWOLVESMIN

3-2  |  Road

103
FINAL
Sat, Nov 2 • 8:00 PM ET
Frost Bank Center
View Odds Details →

SAN ANTONIO

SPURSSA

2-3  |  Home

113
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
📊
SPURS
100%
TIMBERWOLVES --
SPURS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
225.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Minnesota)
TimberwolvesMIN (-3.5) 0 SpursSA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Timberwolves Cover

55.4%

Spurs Cover

44.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIN -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

MIN By 1-7 points

26.5%

MIN By 8-14 points

17.5%

SA By 1-7 points

23.8%

SA By 8-14 points

13.1%

AI Model Projected Score
113.41
MINNESOTA
112.04
SAN ANTONIO
Simulated Score
MINNESOTA
SAN ANTONIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Timberwolves Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Timberwolves (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.4
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 225.5
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 15, 2026 SA @ MIN 139 - 109
May 12, 2026 MIN @ SA 97 - 126
May 10, 2026 SA @ MIN 109 - 114
May 8, 2026 SA @ MIN 115 - 108
May 6, 2026 MIN @ SA 95 - 133
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +17.2% more
Minnesota: 29.9 vs San Antonio: 24.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.0%
Minnesota: 41.5% vs San Antonio: 31.5%
Field Goal % (L5) +5.5%
Minnesota: 49.0% vs San Antonio: 43.4%
Steals (L5) +48.4% more
San Antonio: 10.0 vs Minnesota: 6.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 113.4 103
SA Score 112.0 113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.5 / 41.5 31.0 / 29.7
Assists 24.8 / 29.9 32.0 / 21.0
Blocks 6.0 / 5.4 5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 43.4 / 49.0 51.8 / 47.6
Free Throw % 79.7 / 77.1 82.4 / 70.0
Rebounding 46.8 / 41.5 44.0 / 32.0
Steals 10.0 / 6.7 6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 16.1 / 16.8 13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
55-39-0 (58.5%)
Margin: 2.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
SA Advantage
75-31-0 (70.8%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
42-52-0 (44.7%)
Margin: 2.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
SA Advantage
60-44-2 (57.7%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3% Total +/-: +0.8
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8% Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SA
MIN
SA
MIN
ML
60% 111-73
54% 63-53
58% 61-44
54% 50-43
ATS
58% 107-76-1
58% 67-49
58% 61-44
54% 50-43
TTL
74% 134-47-3
63% 72-43-1
100% 105-0
100% 93-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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