UTAH
JAZZUTAH
1-6 | Road
100
MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
1-6 | Home
123
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
0%
BUCKS
100%
JAZZ
--
BUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
206.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.7
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.7 points (Utah)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTAH -5.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)
UTAH By 1-7 points
27.0%
UTAH By 8-14 points
23.9%
MIL By 1-7 points
17.4%
MIL By 8-14 points
7.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
106.03
UTAH
Milwaukee
100.32
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Utah
UTAH
Milwaukee
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jazz
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jazz (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.7
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 206.4
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 19, 2026
MIL @ UTAH
96 - 128
Mar 7, 2026
UTAH @ MIL
99 - 113
Jan 27, 2025
MIL @ UTAH
125 - 110
Nov 7, 2024
UTAH @ MIL
100 - 123
Feb 4, 2024
MIL @ UTAH
108 - 123
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+25.0% more
Utah: 6.4
vs
Milwaukee: 4.8
Turnovers (L5)
+25.0% more
Utah: 19.0
vs
Milwaukee: 14.2
Assists (L5)
+17.6% more
Utah: 26.4
vs
Milwaukee: 21.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.0%
Utah: 81.4%
vs
Milwaukee: 71.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score
106.0
100
MIL Score
100.3
123
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.0 / 33.7
42.9 / 41.5
Assists
21.8 / 26.4
20.0 / 24.0
Blocks
4.8 / 6.4
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
46.9 / 44.6
51.2 / 42.9
Free Throw %
71.4 / 81.4
73.3 / 94.4
Rebounding
44.9 / 46.3
41.0 / 39.0
Steals
6.1 / 5.5
13.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
14.2 / 19.0
11.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
MIL
Advantage
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
Advantage
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
UTAH
MIL
UTAH
ML
64%
61-35
60%
96-63
60%
49-32
48%
40-43
ATS
68%
65-31
68%
108-51
60%
49-32
48%
40-43
TTL
55%
53-43
75%
119-39-1
100%
81-0
100%
83-0
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