UTAH
JAZZUTAH
1-7 | Road
111
SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
4-5 | Home
110
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
100%
SPURS
0%
JAZZ
--
SPURS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
212.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.3
SAN ANTONIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.3 points (San Antonio)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SA -10.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SA)
UTAH By 1-7 points
10.3%
UTAH By 8-14 points
3.1%
SA By 1-7 points
22.7%
SA By 8-14 points
27.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
101.11
UTAH
San Antonio
111.38
SAN ANTONIO
Simulated Score
Utah
UTAH
San Antonio
SAN ANTONIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Spurs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Spurs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -10.3
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 212.5
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 22, 2026
SA @ UTAH
126 - 109
Jan 19, 2026
UTAH @ SA
110 - 123
Dec 27, 2025
UTAH @ SA
127 - 114
Oct 10, 2025
UTAH @ SA
130 - 134
Nov 26, 2024
SA @ UTAH
128 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+54.4% more
San Antonio: 8.2
vs
Utah: 5.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.0%
San Antonio: 48.1%
vs
Utah: 44.1%
Turnovers (L5)
+18.4% more
Utah: 20.0
vs
San Antonio: 16.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.0%
Utah: 85.7%
vs
San Antonio: 79.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score
101.1
111
SA Score
111.4
110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.6 / 36.3
36.2 / 30.3
Assists
27.4 / 25.6
29.0 / 23.0
Blocks
5.8 / 5.9
10.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
48.1 / 44.1
44.7 / 46.3
Free Throw %
79.8 / 85.7
89.5 / 71.4
Rebounding
44.4 / 43.9
37.0 / 45.0
Steals
8.2 / 5.3
8.0 / 13.0
Turnovers
16.3 / 20.0
20.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SA
UTAH
SA
UTAH
ML
60%
111-73
60%
96-63
58%
61-44
48%
40-43
ATS
58%
107-76-1
68%
108-51
58%
61-44
48%
40-43
TTL
74%
134-47-3
75%
119-39-1
100%
105-0
100%
83-0
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