Home / NBA Projections NBA / Nets @ Warriors BKN @ GS

BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

7-10  |  Road

128
FINAL
Mon, Nov 25 • 10:00 PM ET
Chase Center
View Odds Details →

GOLDEN STATE

WARRIORSGS

12-4  |  Home

120
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
100%
📊
WARRIORS
0%
NETS --
WARRIORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
223.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.6
GOLDEN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.6 points (Golden State)
NetsBKN (-3.5) 0 WarriorsGS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Nets Cover

25.3%

Warriors Cover

74.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GS -6.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GS)

BKN By 1-7 points

15.9%

BKN By 8-14 points

6.1%

GS By 1-7 points

26.5%

GS By 8-14 points

25.0%

AI Model Projected Score
108.2
BROOKLYN
114.85
GOLDEN STATE
Simulated Score
BROOKLYN
GOLDEN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Warriors Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Warriors (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.6
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 223.1
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 25, 2026 BKN @ GS 106 - 109
Dec 29, 2025 GS @ BKN 120 - 107
Mar 6, 2025 GS @ BKN 121 - 119
Nov 25, 2024 BKN @ GS 128 - 120
Feb 5, 2024 GS @ BKN 109 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +46.7% more
Golden State: 50.3 vs Brooklyn: 34.3
Steals (L5) +40.2% more
Golden State: 7.1 vs Brooklyn: 5.0
Assists (L5) +10.7% more
Golden State: 29.8 vs Brooklyn: 26.9
Free Throw % (L5) +14.5%
Brooklyn: 80.2% vs Golden State: 65.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BKN Score 108.2 128
GS Score 114.9 120
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.4 / 42.5 41.3 / 44.4
Assists 29.8 / 26.9 32.0 / 23.0
Blocks 4.6 / 4.6 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 43.1 / 47.5 48.4 / 49.4
Free Throw % 65.7 / 80.2 64.7 / 86.7
Rebounding 50.3 / 34.3 43.0 / 42.0
Steals 7.1 / 5.0 8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 14.3 / 14.6 13.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
GS Advantage
38-46-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN Advantage
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
GS
36-48-0 (42.9%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7
GS
49-35-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7% Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GS
BKN
GS
BKN
ML
55% 95-79
53% 50-45
58% 49-35
59% 48-34
ATS
58% 101-73
52% 48-44-3
58% 49-35
59% 48-34
TTL
77% 134-40
57% 54-41
100% 84-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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