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MINNESOTA

TIMBERWOLVESMIN

11-10  |  Road

107
FINAL
Fri, Dec 6 • 10:00 PM ET
Chase Center
View Odds Details →

GOLDEN STATE

WARRIORSGS

13-8  |  Home

90
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
📊
WARRIORS
100%
TIMBERWOLVES --
WARRIORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
214.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.8
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.8 points (Minnesota)
TimberwolvesMIN (-3.5) 0 WarriorsGS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Timberwolves Cover

57.1%

Warriors Cover

42.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIN -1.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

MIN By 1-7 points

26.7%

MIN By 8-14 points

18.2%

GS By 1-7 points

23.3%

GS By 8-14 points

12.5%

AI Model Projected Score
108.3
MINNESOTA
106.5
GOLDEN STATE
Simulated Score
MINNESOTA
GOLDEN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Timberwolves Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Timberwolves (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.8
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 214.8
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 13, 2026 MIN @ GS 127 - 117
Jan 26, 2026 GS @ MIN 83 - 108
Jan 25, 2026 GS @ MIN 111 - 85
Dec 12, 2025 MIN @ GS 127 - 120
May 14, 2025 GS @ MIN 110 - 121
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +31.1% more
Minnesota: 11.1 vs Golden State: 7.7
Turnovers (L5) +22.7% more
Minnesota: 15.9 vs Golden State: 12.3
Blocks (L5) +12.3% more
Minnesota: 4.5 vs Golden State: 3.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.0%
Minnesota: 37.3% vs Golden State: 33.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 108.3 107
GS Score 106.5 90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.3 / 37.3 28.2 / 33.3
Assists 27.0 / 27.5 21.0 / 32.0
Blocks 3.9 / 4.5 4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 42.8 / 46.5 39.0 / 45.5
Free Throw % 70.4 / 73.3 88.2 / 92.9
Rebounding 50.1 / 45.7 41.0 / 48.0
Steals 7.7 / 11.1 9.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 12.3 / 15.9 22.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN Advantage
55-39-0 (58.5%)
Margin: 2.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
GS
38-46-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN Advantage
42-52-0 (44.7%)
Margin: 2.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
GS
36-48-0 (42.9%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3% Total +/-: +0.8
GS
49-35-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7% Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GS
MIN
GS
MIN
ML
55% 95-79
54% 63-53
58% 49-35
54% 50-43
ATS
58% 101-73
58% 67-49
58% 49-35
54% 50-43
TTL
77% 134-40
63% 72-43-1
100% 84-0
100% 93-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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