MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
13-11 | Road
106
SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
13-12 | Home
92
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
SPURS
100%
TIMBERWOLVES
--
SPURS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.3
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.3 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIN -2.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
MIN By 1-7 points
27.0%
MIN By 8-14 points
19.1%
SA By 1-7 points
22.6%
SA By 8-14 points
11.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
112.15
MINNESOTA
San Antonio
109.82
SAN ANTONIO
Simulated Score
Minnesota
MINNESOTA
San Antonio
SAN ANTONIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.3
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 15, 2026
SA @ MIN
139 - 109
May 12, 2026
MIN @ SA
97 - 126
May 10, 2026
SA @ MIN
109 - 114
May 8, 2026
SA @ MIN
115 - 108
May 6, 2026
MIN @ SA
95 - 133
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+32.3% more
Minnesota: 10.4
vs
San Antonio: 7.0
Turnovers (L5)
+14.0% more
Minnesota: 16.1
vs
San Antonio: 13.8
Assists (L5)
+22.0% more
San Antonio: 29.0
vs
Minnesota: 23.8
Blocks (L5)
+17.1% more
San Antonio: 6.6
vs
Minnesota: 5.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
112.2
106
SA Score
109.8
92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.7 / 35.4
24.4 / 34.3
Assists
29.0 / 23.8
34.0 / 26.0
Blocks
6.6 / 5.7
8.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.7 / 44.1
40.7 / 40.0
Free Throw %
76.7 / 77.2
77.8 / 87.5
Rebounding
45.0 / 45.3
50.0 / 51.0
Steals
7.0 / 10.4
6.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
13.8 / 16.1
19.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SA
MIN
SA
MIN
ML
60%
111-73
54%
63-53
58%
61-44
54%
50-43
ATS
58%
107-76-1
58%
67-49
58%
61-44
54%
50-43
TTL
74%
134-47-3
63%
72-43-1
100%
105-0
100%
93-0
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