NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
16-10 | Road
133
MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
14-11 | Home
107
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
100%
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
KNICKS
--
TIMBERWOLVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
221.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.7
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.7 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIN -3.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
NY By 1-7 points
20.5%
NY By 8-14 points
9.6%
MIN By 1-7 points
27.4%
MIN By 8-14 points
21.2%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
108.91
NEW YORK
Minnesota
112.65
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
New York
NEW YORK
Minnesota
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.7
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 221.6
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 23, 2025
NY @ MIN
104 - 115
Nov 5, 2025
MIN @ NY
114 - 137
Oct 9, 2025
MIN @ NY
95 - 100
Jan 17, 2025
MIN @ NY
116 - 99
Dec 19, 2024
NY @ MIN
133 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+32.2% more
Minnesota: 10.6
vs
New York: 8.0
Rebounding (L5)
+8.4% more
Minnesota: 47.2
vs
New York: 43.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.3%
Minnesota: 80.6%
vs
New York: 72.3%
Blocks (L5)
+13.8% more
New York: 5.9
vs
Minnesota: 5.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
108.9
133
MIN Score
112.7
107
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.0 / 38.2
40.5 / 44.4
Assists
24.5 / 25.7
29.0 / 39.0
Blocks
5.1 / 5.9
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.7 / 47.9
46.1 / 51.5
Free Throw %
80.6 / 72.3
61.5 / 81.3
Rebounding
47.2 / 43.6
37.0 / 57.0
Steals
10.6 / 8.0
10.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
14.7 / 15.4
13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
MIN
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
NY
MIN
NY
ML
54%
63-53
61%
114-72
54%
50-43
56%
57-45
ATS
58%
67-49
67%
124-62
54%
50-43
56%
57-45
TTL
63%
72-43-1
72%
133-53
100%
93-0
100%
102-0
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
Tampa Bay Rays Expected to Exercise $13 Million Club Option on Y…
Adam Fox Quietly Dominating as Rangers Surge Early in 2026-27
Cal Bears' Injury Report: Eight Players Questionable for Virgini…
Haliburton Returns to Hilton Coliseum as Pacers Defeat Timberwol…