SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
15-14 | Road
114
NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
19-10 | Home
117
AI Model Win Probability
SPURS
100%
KNICKS
0%
SPURS
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
226.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.3
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.3 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -5.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
SA By 1-7 points
18.0%
SA By 8-14 points
7.6%
NY By 1-7 points
27.1%
NY By 8-14 points
23.5%
AI Model Projected Score
San Antonio
110.55
SAN ANTONIO
New York
115.88
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
San Antonio
SAN ANTONIO
New York
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knicks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knicks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.3
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 226.4
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 13, 2026
NY @ SA
94 - 90
Jun 10, 2026
SA @ NY
106 - 107
Jun 8, 2026
SA @ NY
115 - 111
Jun 5, 2026
NY @ SA
105 - 104
Jun 3, 2026
NY @ SA
105 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+31.2% more
New York: 9.3
vs
San Antonio: 7.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.6%
New York: 42.2%
vs
San Antonio: 33.6%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.1%
New York: 51.3%
vs
San Antonio: 46.2%
Blocks (L5)
+70.0% more
San Antonio: 10.2
vs
New York: 3.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SA Score
110.6
114
NY Score
115.9
117
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.2 / 33.6
33.3 / 42.1
Assists
30.1 / 29.2
26.0 / 33.0
Blocks
3.1 / 10.2
3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
51.3 / 46.2
45.0 / 50.6
Free Throw %
75.7 / 84.4
87.5 / 82.4
Rebounding
42.4 / 44.9
47.0 / 45.0
Steals
9.3 / 7.1
7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
16.2 / 15.8
5.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
NY
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
NY
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
SA
NY
SA
ML
61%
114-72
60%
111-73
56%
57-45
58%
61-44
ATS
67%
124-62
58%
107-76-1
56%
57-45
58%
61-44
TTL
72%
133-53
74%
134-47-3
100%
102-0
100%
105-0
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