SAN ANTONIO

SPURSSA

15-15  |  Road

96
FINAL
Fri, Dec 27 • 7:30 PM ET
Barclays Center
View Odds Details →

BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

12-18  |  Home

87
AI Model Win Probability
SPURS
100%
📊
NETS
0%
SPURS --
NETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
205.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Brooklyn)
SpursSA (-3.5) 0 NetsBKN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Spurs Cover

34.5%

Nets Cover

65.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BKN -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)

SA By 1-7 points

20.1%

SA By 8-14 points

9.3%

BKN By 1-7 points

27.4%

BKN By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
100.53
SAN ANTONIO
104.52
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
SAN ANTONIO
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Nets Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Nets (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 205.1
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 26, 2026 SA @ BKN 126 - 110
Oct 26, 2025 BKN @ SA 107 - 118
Mar 4, 2025 BKN @ SA 113 - 127
Dec 27, 2024 SA @ BKN 96 - 87
Mar 17, 2024 BKN @ SA 115 - 122
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +43.5% more
Brooklyn: 8.2 vs San Antonio: 5.7
Turnovers (L5) +18.4% more
Brooklyn: 18.4 vs San Antonio: 15.5
Blocks (L5) +70.3% more
San Antonio: 8.8 vs Brooklyn: 2.6
Assists (L5) +21.7% more
San Antonio: 30.4 vs Brooklyn: 23.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SA Score 100.5 96
BKN Score 104.5 87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.2 / 36.5 29.3 / 42.9
Assists 23.8 / 30.4 22.0 / 26.0
Blocks 2.6 / 8.8 4.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 43.4 / 47.7 38.9 / 41.0
Free Throw % 81.4 / 83.7 62.5 / 74.1
Rebounding 41.9 / 45.0 45.0 / 43.0
Steals 8.2 / 5.7 8.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 18.4 / 15.5 18.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SA Advantage
75-31-0 (70.8%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.2
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SA Advantage
60-44-2 (57.7%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.2
BKN
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8% Total +/-: -1.1
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7