AI Model Win Probability
SPURS
100%
NETS
0%
SPURS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
205.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Brooklyn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BKN -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
SA By 1-7 points
20.1%
SA By 8-14 points
9.3%
BKN By 1-7 points
27.4%
BKN By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
San Antonio
100.53
SAN ANTONIO
Brooklyn
104.52
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
San Antonio
SAN ANTONIO
Brooklyn
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Nets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Nets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 205.1
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 26, 2026
SA @ BKN
126 - 110
Oct 26, 2025
BKN @ SA
107 - 118
Mar 4, 2025
BKN @ SA
113 - 127
Dec 27, 2024
SA @ BKN
96 - 87
Mar 17, 2024
BKN @ SA
115 - 122
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+43.5% more
Brooklyn: 8.2
vs
San Antonio: 5.7
Turnovers (L5)
+18.4% more
Brooklyn: 18.4
vs
San Antonio: 15.5
Blocks (L5)
+70.3% more
San Antonio: 8.8
vs
Brooklyn: 2.6
Assists (L5)
+21.7% more
San Antonio: 30.4
vs
Brooklyn: 23.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SA Score
100.5
96
BKN Score
104.5
87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.2 / 36.5
29.3 / 42.9
Assists
23.8 / 30.4
22.0 / 26.0
Blocks
2.6 / 8.8
4.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
43.4 / 47.7
38.9 / 41.0
Free Throw %
81.4 / 83.7
62.5 / 74.1
Rebounding
41.9 / 45.0
45.0 / 43.0
Steals
8.2 / 5.7
8.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
18.4 / 15.5
18.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
SA
BKN
SA
ML
53%
50-45
60%
111-73
59%
48-34
58%
61-44
ATS
52%
48-44-3
58%
107-76-1
59%
48-34
58%
61-44
TTL
57%
54-41
74%
134-47-3
100%
82-0
100%
105-0