PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
11-17 | Road
114
UTAH
JAZZUTAH
7-22 | Home
111
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
JAZZ
0%
76ERS
--
JAZZ
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
224.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Utah)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTAH -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)
PHI By 1-7 points
25.1%
PHI By 8-14 points
14.9%
UTAH By 1-7 points
25.6%
UTAH By 8-14 points
15.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
111.86
PHILADELPHIA
Utah
112.1
UTAH
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
PHILADELPHIA
Utah
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jazz
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jazz (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -0.2
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 21, 2026
PHI @ UTAH
126 - 116
Mar 4, 2026
UTAH @ PHI
102 - 106
Mar 9, 2025
UTAH @ PHI
122 - 126
Dec 28, 2024
PHI @ UTAH
114 - 111
Feb 1, 2024
PHI @ UTAH
127 - 124
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+54.8% more
Utah: 17.3
vs
Philadelphia: 11.2
Blocks (L5)
+49.4% more
Utah: 5.8
vs
Philadelphia: 3.9
Rebounding (L5)
+12.4% more
Utah: 47.2
vs
Philadelphia: 42.0
Assists (L5)
+9.6% more
Utah: 25.6
vs
Philadelphia: 23.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
111.9
114
UTAH Score
112.1
111
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
44.2 / 37.8
33.3 / 36.1
Assists
25.6 / 23.4
27.0 / 22.0
Blocks
5.8 / 3.9
3.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
46.3 / 45.1
48.3 / 43.4
Free Throw %
70.7 / 83.5
86.7 / 78.4
Rebounding
47.2 / 42.0
48.0 / 32.0
Steals
7.7 / 10.2
3.0 / 15.0
Turnovers
17.3 / 11.2
22.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
UTAH
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
PHI
UTAH
PHI
ML
60%
96-63
63%
69-40
48%
40-43
48%
45-48
ATS
68%
108-51
65%
71-38
48%
40-43
48%
45-48
TTL
75%
119-39-1
55%
60-49
100%
83-0
100%
93-0
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