PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
13-18 | Road
105
GOLDEN STATE
WARRIORSGS
16-16 | Home
139
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
WARRIORS
0%
76ERS
--
WARRIORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
216.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.2
GOLDEN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.2 points (Golden State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GS -3.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GS)
PHI By 1-7 points
21.4%
PHI By 8-14 points
10.4%
GS By 1-7 points
27.3%
GS By 8-14 points
20.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
106.61
PHILADELPHIA
Golden State
109.78
GOLDEN STATE
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
PHILADELPHIA
Golden State
GOLDEN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Warriors
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Warriors (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.2
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 216.4
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 3, 2026
PHI @ GS
113 - 94
Dec 4, 2025
GS @ PHI
98 - 99
Mar 1, 2025
GS @ PHI
119 - 126
Jan 2, 2025
PHI @ GS
105 - 139
Feb 7, 2024
GS @ PHI
127 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+37.9% more
Golden State: 6.4
vs
Philadelphia: 4.7
Rebounding (L5)
+37.2% more
Golden State: 48.9
vs
Philadelphia: 35.6
Steals (L5)
+33.8% more
Philadelphia: 11.2
vs
Golden State: 7.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+11.7%
Philadelphia: 39.2%
vs
Golden State: 27.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
106.6
105
GS Score
109.8
139
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.5 / 39.2
56.4 / 29.0
Assists
24.1 / 22.6
41.0 / 17.0
Blocks
6.4 / 4.7
8.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
38.9 / 48.4
60.9 / 42.0
Free Throw %
75.8 / 85.0
73.3 / 82.4
Rebounding
48.9 / 35.6
43.0 / 33.0
Steals
7.4 / 11.2
5.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
13.6 / 15.1
12.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
GS
38-46-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
GS
36-48-0
(42.9%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
GS
49-35-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7%
Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GS
PHI
GS
PHI
ML
55%
95-79
63%
69-40
58%
49-35
48%
45-48
ATS
58%
101-73
65%
71-38
58%
49-35
48%
45-48
TTL
77%
134-40
55%
60-49
100%
84-0
100%
93-0
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