Home / NBA Projections NBA / Bucks @ Knicks MIL @ NY

MILWAUKEE

BUCKSMIL

20-16  |  Road

106
FINAL
Sun, Jan 12 • 3:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

25-14  |  Home

140
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
0%
📊
KNICKS
100%
BUCKS --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
225.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Milwaukee)
BucksMIL (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bucks Cover

50.8%

Knicks Cover

49.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIL -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)

MIL By 1-7 points

25.5%

MIL By 8-14 points

15.6%

NY By 1-7 points

25.2%

NY By 8-14 points

15.0%

AI Model Projected Score
112.61
MILWAUKEE
112.42
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
MILWAUKEE
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bucks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bucks (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -0.2
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 27, 2026 NY @ MIL 127 - 98
Nov 28, 2025 MIL @ NY 109 - 118
Oct 28, 2025 NY @ MIL 111 - 121
Mar 28, 2025 NY @ MIL 116 - 107
Jan 12, 2025 MIL @ NY 106 - 140
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +32.2% more
Milwaukee: 4.8 vs New York: 3.3
Steals (L5) +18.4% more
Milwaukee: 8.9 vs New York: 7.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +15.3%
Milwaukee: 39.5% vs New York: 24.1%
Assists (L5) +11.9% more
Milwaukee: 24.6 vs New York: 21.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIL Score 112.6 106
NY Score 112.4 140
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 24.1 / 39.5 43.9 / 29.4
Assists 21.7 / 24.6 29.0 / 22.0
Blocks 3.3 / 4.8 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.8 / 49.6 58.0 / 45.7
Free Throw % 86.0 / 70.3 83.3 / 58.8
Rebounding 43.3 / 47.2 49.0 / 39.0
Steals 7.3 / 8.9 6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 13.1 / 13.7 12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
32-50-0 (39.0%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -3.0
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0 (43.9%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -3.0
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4% Total +/-: +1.4
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
MIL
NY
MIL
ML
61% 114-72
64% 61-35
56% 57-45
60% 49-32
ATS
67% 124-62
68% 65-31
56% 57-45
60% 49-32
TTL
72% 133-53
55% 53-43
100% 102-0
100% 81-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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