MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
21-19 | Road
116
NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
27-15 | Home
99
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
100%
KNICKS
0%
TIMBERWOLVES
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
228.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
MIN By 1-7 points
24.5%
MIN By 8-14 points
14.1%
NY By 1-7 points
26.0%
NY By 8-14 points
16.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
113.68
MINNESOTA
New York
114.45
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Minnesota
MINNESOTA
New York
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knicks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knicks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -0.8
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 228.1
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 23, 2025
NY @ MIN
104 - 115
Nov 5, 2025
MIN @ NY
114 - 137
Oct 9, 2025
MIN @ NY
95 - 100
Jan 17, 2025
MIN @ NY
116 - 99
Dec 19, 2024
NY @ MIN
133 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+18.1% more
New York: 7.5
vs
Minnesota: 6.3
Assists (L5)
+8.8% more
New York: 25.8
vs
Minnesota: 23.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.3%
New York: 79.8%
vs
Minnesota: 75.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.0%
New York: 50.8%
vs
Minnesota: 46.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
113.7
116
NY Score
114.5
99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.1 / 40.9
41.2 / 55.0
Assists
25.8 / 23.7
19.0 / 23.0
Blocks
3.0 / 5.9
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
50.8 / 46.9
38.9 / 53.2
Free Throw %
79.8 / 75.5
88.2 / 71.4
Rebounding
44.4 / 45.9
41.0 / 46.0
Steals
7.5 / 6.3
10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
15.0 / 14.3
9.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
MIN
NY
MIN
ML
61%
114-72
54%
63-53
56%
57-45
54%
50-43
ATS
67%
124-62
58%
67-49
56%
57-45
54%
50-43
TTL
72%
133-53
63%
72-43-1
100%
102-0
100%
93-0
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