MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
25-18 | Road
125
UTAH
JAZZUTAH
10-33 | Home
110
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
0%
JAZZ
100%
BUCKS
--
JAZZ
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
232.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.4
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.4 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIL -5.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIL By 1-7 points
27.1%
MIL By 8-14 points
23.5%
UTAH By 1-7 points
17.9%
UTAH By 8-14 points
7.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
118.93
MILWAUKEE
Utah
113.53
UTAH
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
MILWAUKEE
Utah
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bucks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bucks (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.4
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 232.5
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 19, 2026
MIL @ UTAH
96 - 128
Mar 7, 2026
UTAH @ MIL
99 - 113
Jan 27, 2025
MIL @ UTAH
125 - 110
Nov 7, 2024
UTAH @ MIL
100 - 123
Feb 4, 2024
MIL @ UTAH
108 - 123
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.1%
Milwaukee: 40.8%
vs
Utah: 30.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.8%
Milwaukee: 49.0%
vs
Utah: 44.2%
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.6%
Milwaukee: 79.6%
vs
Utah: 76.0%
Turnovers (L5)
+59.2% more
Utah: 18.0
vs
Milwaukee: 11.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
118.9
125
UTAH Score
113.5
110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.7 / 40.8
33.3 / 35.3
Assists
26.4 / 27.2
28.0 / 33.0
Blocks
5.3 / 5.1
1.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
44.2 / 49.0
41.0 / 60.5
Free Throw %
76.0 / 79.6
76.9 / 52.9
Rebounding
46.7 / 47.1
46.0 / 46.0
Steals
6.2 / 4.2
8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
18.0 / 11.3
11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
UTAH
Advantage
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
MIL
UTAH
MIL
ML
60%
96-63
64%
61-35
48%
40-43
60%
49-32
ATS
68%
108-51
68%
65-31
48%
40-43
60%
49-32
TTL
75%
119-39-1
55%
53-43
100%
83-0
100%
81-0
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