MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
26-21 | Road
138
UTAH
JAZZUTAH
10-35 | Home
113
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
JAZZ
100%
TIMBERWOLVES
--
JAZZ
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
226.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.5
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.5 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIN -9.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
MIN By 1-7 points
23.7%
MIN By 8-14 points
27.1%
UTAH By 1-7 points
11.5%
UTAH By 8-14 points
3.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
117.8
MINNESOTA
Utah
108.35
UTAH
Simulated Score
Minnesota
MINNESOTA
Utah
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.5
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 226.1
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 18, 2026
UTAH @ MIN
111 - 147
Jan 20, 2026
MIN @ UTAH
122 - 127
Nov 10, 2025
MIN @ UTAH
120 - 113
Nov 7, 2025
UTAH @ MIN
97 - 137
Apr 13, 2025
UTAH @ MIN
105 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+39.2% more
Minnesota: 9.6
vs
Utah: 5.9
Blocks (L5)
+13.0% more
Minnesota: 5.3
vs
Utah: 4.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.9%
Minnesota: 40.2%
vs
Utah: 31.3%
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.2%
Minnesota: 81.6%
vs
Utah: 74.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
117.8
138
UTAH Score
108.4
113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.3 / 40.2
41.2 / 55.3
Assists
28.0 / 25.8
21.0 / 38.0
Blocks
4.6 / 5.3
4.0 / 9.0
Field Goal %
45.8 / 49.2
50.6 / 59.8
Free Throw %
74.5 / 81.6
84.0 / 79.2
Rebounding
44.0 / 42.5
23.0 / 39.0
Steals
5.9 / 9.6
6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
15.4 / 15.5
15.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
UTAH
Advantage
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
MIN
UTAH
MIN
ML
60%
96-63
54%
63-53
48%
40-43
54%
50-43
ATS
68%
108-51
58%
67-49
48%
40-43
54%
50-43
TTL
75%
119-39-1
63%
72-43-1
100%
83-0
100%
93-0
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