ORLANDO
MAGICORL
24-26 | Road
99
GOLDEN STATE
WARRIORSGS
24-24 | Home
104
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
100%
WARRIORS
0%
MAGIC
--
WARRIORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
206.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
GOLDEN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (Golden State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GS -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GS)
ORL By 1-7 points
23.9%
ORL By 8-14 points
13.2%
GS By 1-7 points
26.5%
GS By 8-14 points
17.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
102.54
ORLANDO
Golden State
103.89
GOLDEN STATE
Simulated Score
Orlando
ORLANDO
Golden State
GOLDEN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Warriors
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Warriors (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.3
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 206.4
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 22, 2025
ORL @ GS
97 - 120
Nov 18, 2025
GS @ ORL
113 - 121
Feb 27, 2025
GS @ ORL
121 - 115
Feb 3, 2025
ORL @ GS
99 - 104
Mar 27, 2024
GS @ ORL
101 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+41.7% more
Golden State: 28.7
vs
Orlando: 20.3
Rebounding (L5)
+11.5% more
Golden State: 45.7
vs
Orlando: 41.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.6%
Golden State: 36.2%
vs
Orlando: 26.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.1%
Golden State: 42.5%
vs
Orlando: 39.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
102.5
99
GS Score
103.9
104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.2 / 26.5
30.8 / 25.0
Assists
28.7 / 20.3
25.0 / 23.0
Blocks
5.0 / 5.6
0.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.5 / 39.5
43.6 / 43.4
Free Throw %
74.9 / 77.1
70.6 / 50.0
Rebounding
45.7 / 41.0
44.0 / 52.0
Steals
8.3 / 8.6
9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 13.0
13.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
GS
38-46-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
Advantage
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
GS
36-48-0
(42.9%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
GS
49-35-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7%
Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GS
ORL
GS
ORL
ML
55%
95-79
61%
65-42
58%
49-35
56%
51-40
ATS
58%
101-73
64%
68-38-1
58%
49-35
56%
51-40
TTL
77%
134-40
57%
61-46
100%
84-0
100%
91-0
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