SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
22-28 | Road
131
WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
9-43 | Home
121
AI Model Win Probability
SPURS
0%
WIZARDS
100%
SPURS
--
WIZARDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
221.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.7
SAN ANTONIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.7 points (San Antonio)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SA -2.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SA)
SA By 1-7 points
27.1%
SA By 8-14 points
19.7%
WSH By 1-7 points
22.0%
WSH By 8-14 points
11.1%
AI Model Projected Score
San Antonio
111.83
SAN ANTONIO
Washington
109.12
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
San Antonio
SAN ANTONIO
Washington
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Spurs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Spurs (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.7
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 221.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 21, 2025
SA @ WSH
124 - 113
Dec 18, 2025
WSH @ SA
94 - 119
Feb 10, 2025
SA @ WSH
131 - 121
Nov 13, 2024
WSH @ SA
130 - 139
Jan 29, 2024
WSH @ SA
118 - 113
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+42.5% more
San Antonio: 5.3
vs
Washington: 3.1
Steals (L5)
+34.0% more
San Antonio: 9.9
vs
Washington: 6.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.9%
San Antonio: 36.9%
vs
Washington: 33.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.0%
San Antonio: 48.9%
vs
Washington: 46.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SA Score
111.8
131
WSH Score
109.1
121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.0 / 36.9
29.8 / 44.7
Assists
27.5 / 28.9
26.0 / 28.0
Blocks
3.1 / 5.3
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.0 / 48.9
48.4 / 51.1
Free Throw %
81.4 / 78.6
89.5 / 82.8
Rebounding
46.2 / 39.7
42.0 / 43.0
Steals
6.5 / 9.9
5.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
15.9 / 12.6
14.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
SA
WSH
SA
ML
70%
112-49
60%
111-73
47%
39-44
58%
61-44
ATS
69%
111-49-1
58%
107-76-1
47%
39-44
58%
61-44
TTL
74%
119-41-1
74%
134-47-3
100%
83-0
100%
105-0
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