MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
30-24 | Road
104
WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
9-45 | Home
101
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
0%
WIZARDS
100%
BUCKS
--
WIZARDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
218.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIL -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIL By 1-7 points
26.4%
MIL By 8-14 points
17.3%
WSH By 1-7 points
24.0%
WSH By 8-14 points
13.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
109.89
MILWAUKEE
Washington
108.66
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
MILWAUKEE
Washington
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bucks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bucks (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.2
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 218.6
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 29, 2026
MIL @ WSH
99 - 109
Dec 31, 2025
WSH @ MIL
114 - 113
Dec 1, 2025
MIL @ WSH
126 - 129
Oct 22, 2025
WSH @ MIL
120 - 133
Feb 21, 2025
MIL @ WSH
104 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+22.8% more
Washington: 4.4
vs
Milwaukee: 3.6
Assists (L5)
+17.4% more
Washington: 27.6
vs
Milwaukee: 23.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
109.9
104
WSH Score
108.7
101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.3 / 38.5
30.8 / 28.1
Assists
27.6 / 23.6
25.0 / 24.0
Blocks
4.4 / 3.6
4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
47.4 / 46.4
40.2 / 47.6
Free Throw %
83.2 / 82.5
70.4 / 65.4
Rebounding
45.2 / 43.3
42.0 / 44.0
Steals
5.7 / 5.9
9.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
16.2 / 15.3
14.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
Advantage
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
MIL
WSH
MIL
ML
70%
112-49
64%
61-35
47%
39-44
60%
49-32
ATS
69%
111-49-1
68%
65-31
47%
39-44
60%
49-32
TTL
74%
119-41-1
55%
53-43
100%
83-0
100%
81-0
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