GOLDEN STATE
WARRIORSGS
31-27 | Road
121
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
29-31 | Home
115
AI Model Win Probability
WARRIORS
0%
MAGIC
100%
WARRIORS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
226.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.1
GOLDEN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.1 points (Golden State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GS -4.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GS)
GS By 1-7 points
27.4%
GS By 8-14 points
21.7%
ORL By 1-7 points
20.0%
ORL By 8-14 points
9.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Golden State
115.27
GOLDEN STATE
Orlando
111.2
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Golden State
GOLDEN STATE
Orlando
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Warriors
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Warriors (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.1
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 226.5
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 22, 2025
ORL @ GS
97 - 120
Nov 18, 2025
GS @ ORL
113 - 121
Feb 27, 2025
GS @ ORL
121 - 115
Feb 3, 2025
ORL @ GS
99 - 104
Mar 27, 2024
GS @ ORL
101 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+41.3% more
Golden State: 12.8
vs
Orlando: 7.5
Assists (L5)
+36.5% more
Golden State: 34.3
vs
Orlando: 21.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.1%
Golden State: 86.3%
vs
Orlando: 77.2%
Rebounding (L5)
+8.5% more
Golden State: 47.5
vs
Orlando: 43.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GS Score
115.3
121
ORL Score
111.2
115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.8 / 34.4
39.3 / 42.2
Assists
21.8 / 34.3
23.0 / 26.0
Blocks
7.1 / 4.9
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
41.7 / 47.6
50.6 / 45.6
Free Throw %
77.2 / 86.3
77.8 / 88.2
Rebounding
43.5 / 47.5
46.0 / 38.0
Steals
7.5 / 12.8
9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 11.7
18.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GS
38-46-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GS
36-48-0
(42.9%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
ORL
Advantage
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
GS
49-35-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7%
Total +/-: +1.9
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
GS
ORL
GS
ML
61%
65-42
55%
95-79
56%
51-40
58%
49-35
ATS
64%
68-38-1
58%
101-73
56%
51-40
58%
49-35
TTL
57%
61-46
77%
134-40
100%
91-0
100%
84-0
Contextual Game News
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Declares Himself NBA's Best Player, Shru…
Boston Celtics' Young Wings Face Huge Opportunity After Jaylen B…
Tampa Bay Rays Expected to Exercise $13 Million Club Option on Y…
Caleb Wilson's Bulls Debut: Rookie Brings Bold Talk and Mixed Re…