GOLDEN STATE
WARRIORSGS
32-27 | Road
119
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
20-38 | Home
126
AI Model Win Probability
WARRIORS
0%
76ERS
100%
WARRIORS
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
229.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.8
GOLDEN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.8 points (Golden State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GS -11.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GS)
GS By 1-7 points
20.5%
GS By 8-14 points
27.3%
PHI By 1-7 points
8.3%
PHI By 8-14 points
2.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Golden State
120.4
GOLDEN STATE
Philadelphia
108.65
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Golden State
GOLDEN STATE
Philadelphia
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Warriors
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Warriors (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.8
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 229.1
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 3, 2026
PHI @ GS
113 - 94
Dec 4, 2025
GS @ PHI
98 - 99
Mar 1, 2025
GS @ PHI
119 - 126
Jan 2, 2025
PHI @ GS
105 - 139
Feb 7, 2024
GS @ PHI
127 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+31.6% more
Golden State: 31.5
vs
Philadelphia: 21.6
Blocks (L5)
+11.6% more
Golden State: 5.6
vs
Philadelphia: 5.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.7%
Golden State: 37.0%
vs
Philadelphia: 28.2%
Rebounding (L5)
+8.0% more
Golden State: 44.3
vs
Philadelphia: 40.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GS Score
120.4
119
PHI Score
108.7
126
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.2 / 37.0
57.6 / 28.6
Assists
21.6 / 31.5
27.0 / 33.0
Blocks
5.0 / 5.6
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
42.9 / 46.9
52.9 / 46.0
Free Throw %
84.8 / 87.0
60.7 / 78.9
Rebounding
40.8 / 44.3
40.0 / 49.0
Steals
10.5 / 11.2
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
13.7 / 12.4
14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GS
38-46-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GS
36-48-0
(42.9%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
GS
49-35-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7%
Total +/-: +1.9
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
GS
PHI
GS
ML
63%
69-40
55%
95-79
48%
45-48
58%
49-35
ATS
65%
71-38
58%
101-73
48%
45-48
58%
49-35
TTL
55%
60-49
77%
134-40
100%
93-0
100%
84-0
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