AI Model Win Probability
NETS
0%
SPURS
100%
NETS
--
SPURS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
215.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (Brooklyn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BKN -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
BKN By 1-7 points
26.6%
BKN By 8-14 points
17.7%
SA By 1-7 points
23.7%
SA By 8-14 points
12.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
108.31
BROOKLYN
San Antonio
106.82
SAN ANTONIO
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
BROOKLYN
San Antonio
SAN ANTONIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Nets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Nets (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.5
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 215.1
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 26, 2026
SA @ BKN
126 - 110
Oct 26, 2025
BKN @ SA
107 - 118
Mar 4, 2025
BKN @ SA
113 - 127
Dec 27, 2024
SA @ BKN
96 - 87
Mar 17, 2024
BKN @ SA
115 - 122
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+34.2% more
Brooklyn: 11.4
vs
San Antonio: 7.5
Blocks (L5)
+31.3% more
Brooklyn: 5.9
vs
San Antonio: 4.0
Turnovers (L5)
+22.5% more
Brooklyn: 16.5
vs
San Antonio: 12.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.9%
Brooklyn: 83.6%
vs
San Antonio: 73.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
108.3
113
SA Score
106.8
127
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.7 / 25.2
46.2 / 34.0
Assists
32.0 / 22.7
37.0 / 29.0
Blocks
4.0 / 5.9
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
49.1 / 38.3
54.7 / 45.3
Free Throw %
73.7 / 83.6
50.0 / 85.7
Rebounding
39.6 / 42.0
46.0 / 40.0
Steals
7.5 / 11.4
9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.8 / 16.5
15.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SA
BKN
SA
BKN
ML
60%
111-73
53%
50-45
58%
61-44
59%
48-34
ATS
58%
107-76-1
52%
48-44-3
58%
61-44
59%
48-34
TTL
74%
134-47-3
57%
54-41
100%
105-0
100%
82-0