BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

21-39  |  Road

113
FINAL
Tue, Mar 4 • 8:30 PM ET
Frost Bank Center
View Odds Details →

SAN ANTONIO

SPURSSA

25-34  |  Home

127
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
0%
📊
SPURS
100%
NETS --
SPURS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
215.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (Brooklyn)
NetsBKN (-3.5) 0 SpursSA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Nets Cover

55.9%

Spurs Cover

44.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BKN -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)

BKN By 1-7 points

26.6%

BKN By 8-14 points

17.7%

SA By 1-7 points

23.7%

SA By 8-14 points

12.9%

AI Model Projected Score
108.31
BROOKLYN
106.82
SAN ANTONIO
Simulated Score
BROOKLYN
SAN ANTONIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Nets Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Nets (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.5
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 215.1
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 26, 2026 SA @ BKN 126 - 110
Oct 26, 2025 BKN @ SA 107 - 118
Mar 4, 2025 BKN @ SA 113 - 127
Dec 27, 2024 SA @ BKN 96 - 87
Mar 17, 2024 BKN @ SA 115 - 122
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +34.2% more
Brooklyn: 11.4 vs San Antonio: 7.5
Blocks (L5) +31.3% more
Brooklyn: 5.9 vs San Antonio: 4.0
Turnovers (L5) +22.5% more
Brooklyn: 16.5 vs San Antonio: 12.8
Free Throw % (L5) +9.9%
Brooklyn: 83.6% vs San Antonio: 73.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BKN Score 108.3 113
SA Score 106.8 127
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.7 / 25.2 46.2 / 34.0
Assists 32.0 / 22.7 37.0 / 29.0
Blocks 4.0 / 5.9 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 49.1 / 38.3 54.7 / 45.3
Free Throw % 73.7 / 83.6 50.0 / 85.7
Rebounding 39.6 / 42.0 46.0 / 40.0
Steals 7.5 / 11.4 9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 12.8 / 16.5 15.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
SA Advantage
75-31-0 (70.8%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
SA Advantage
60-44-2 (57.7%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8% Total +/-: -1.1