DETROIT
PISTONSDET
35-28 | Road
110
GOLDEN STATE
WARRIORSGS
35-28 | Home
115
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
100%
WARRIORS
0%
PISTONS
--
WARRIORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
247.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.8
GOLDEN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.8 points (Golden State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GS -3.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GS)
DET By 1-7 points
20.5%
DET By 8-14 points
9.6%
GS By 1-7 points
27.4%
GS By 8-14 points
21.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
121.88
DETROIT
Golden State
125.65
GOLDEN STATE
Simulated Score
Detroit
DETROIT
Golden State
GOLDEN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Warriors
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Warriors (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.8
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 247.5
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 20, 2026
GS @ DET
101 - 115
Jan 30, 2026
DET @ GS
131 - 124
Mar 8, 2025
DET @ GS
110 - 115
Jan 9, 2025
GS @ DET
107 - 104
Oct 13, 2024
DET @ GS
93 - 111
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+14.5% more
Golden State: 46.4
vs
Detroit: 40.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.4%
Golden State: 85.7%
vs
Detroit: 75.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.2%
Golden State: 35.8%
vs
Detroit: 33.5%
Steals (L5)
+27.6% more
Detroit: 9.6
vs
Golden State: 6.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
121.9
110
GS Score
125.7
115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.8 / 33.5
29.3 / 21.7
Assists
31.4 / 29.6
26.0 / 17.0
Blocks
5.0 / 6.1
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.2 / 52.4
41.7 / 45.9
Free Throw %
85.7 / 75.3
80.5 / 75.0
Rebounding
46.4 / 40.5
46.0 / 44.0
Steals
6.9 / 9.6
12.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
13.8 / 15.4
19.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
GS
38-46-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
GS
36-48-0
(42.9%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
GS
49-35-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7%
Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GS
DET
GS
DET
ML
55%
95-79
55%
64-53
58%
49-35
49%
47-49
ATS
58%
101-73
53%
60-54-3
58%
49-35
49%
47-49
TTL
77%
134-40
60%
70-46-1
100%
84-0
100%
96-0
Contextual Game News
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Declares Himself NBA's Best Player, Shru…
Boston Celtics' Young Wings Face Huge Opportunity After Jaylen B…
Tampa Bay Rays Expected to Exercise $13 Million Club Option on Y…
Cal Bears' Injury Report: Eight Players Questionable for Virgini…
Caleb Wilson's Bulls Debut: Rookie Brings Bold Talk and Mixed Re…