SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
26-35 | Road
124
MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
36-29 | Home
141
AI Model Win Probability
SPURS
100%
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
SPURS
--
TIMBERWOLVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIN -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
SA By 1-7 points
18.5%
SA By 8-14 points
8.0%
MIN By 1-7 points
27.2%
MIN By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
San Antonio
111.12
SAN ANTONIO
Minnesota
116.13
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
San Antonio
SAN ANTONIO
Minnesota
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 227.3
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 15, 2026
SA @ MIN
139 - 109
May 12, 2026
MIN @ SA
97 - 126
May 10, 2026
SA @ MIN
109 - 114
May 8, 2026
SA @ MIN
115 - 108
May 6, 2026
MIN @ SA
95 - 133
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+16.5% more
Minnesota: 8.9
vs
San Antonio: 7.7
Blocks (L5)
+10.7% more
Minnesota: 4.4
vs
San Antonio: 4.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.3%
Minnesota: 72.0%
vs
San Antonio: 62.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.7%
Minnesota: 40.1%
vs
San Antonio: 38.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SA Score
111.1
124
MIN Score
116.1
141
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.1 / 38.4
50.0 / 36.7
Assists
28.0 / 31.5
38.0 / 26.0
Blocks
4.4 / 4.0
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
48.5 / 49.3
55.8 / 55.3
Free Throw %
72.0 / 62.7
93.3 / 79.2
Rebounding
41.5 / 39.8
42.0 / 36.0
Steals
8.9 / 7.7
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
11.7 / 11.7
13.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
MIN
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
SA
MIN
SA
ML
54%
63-53
60%
111-73
54%
50-43
58%
61-44
ATS
58%
67-49
58%
107-76-1
54%
50-43
58%
61-44
TTL
63%
72-43-1
74%
134-47-3
100%
93-0
100%
105-0
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Takes Blame for Thunder's Game 7 Loss, B…
Wallabies Select Suaalii on Wing, Henry to Debut in Bledisloe Cu…
Tampa Bay Rays Expected to Exercise $13 Million Club Option on Y…