NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
42-23 | Road
94
GOLDEN STATE
WARRIORSGS
38-28 | Home
97
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
100%
WARRIORS
0%
KNICKS
--
WARRIORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
235.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
GOLDEN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Golden State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GS -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GS)
NY By 1-7 points
24.2%
NY By 8-14 points
13.6%
GS By 1-7 points
26.3%
GS By 8-14 points
17.1%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
117.42
NEW YORK
Golden State
118.5
GOLDEN STATE
Simulated Score
New York
NEW YORK
Golden State
GOLDEN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Warriors
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Warriors (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.1
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 235.9
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 15, 2026
GS @ NY
107 - 110
Jan 15, 2026
NY @ GS
113 - 126
Mar 15, 2025
NY @ GS
94 - 97
Mar 4, 2025
GS @ NY
114 - 102
Mar 18, 2024
NY @ GS
119 - 112
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+19.0% more
Golden State: 32.6
vs
New York: 27.4
Blocks (L5)
+14.9% more
Golden State: 4.9
vs
New York: 4.2
Turnovers (L5)
+8.6% more
Golden State: 16.3
vs
New York: 15.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.6%
Golden State: 45.1%
vs
New York: 37.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
117.4
94
GS Score
118.5
97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
45.1 / 37.5
31.7 / 37.5
Assists
32.6 / 27.4
25.0 / 20.0
Blocks
4.9 / 4.2
5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
51.2 / 46.4
39.8 / 43.0
Free Throw %
82.4 / 77.5
81.8 / 84.6
Rebounding
43.8 / 42.2
45.0 / 49.0
Steals
10.1 / 9.9
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
16.3 / 15.0
11.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
GS
38-46-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
GS
36-48-0
(42.9%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
GS
49-35-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7%
Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GS
NY
GS
NY
ML
55%
95-79
61%
114-72
58%
49-35
56%
57-45
ATS
58%
101-73
67%
124-62
58%
49-35
56%
57-45
TTL
77%
134-40
72%
133-53
100%
84-0
100%
102-0
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