NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
43-24 | Road
105
SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
28-39 | Home
120
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
SPURS
100%
KNICKS
--
SPURS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
234.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
NY By 1-7 points
26.6%
NY By 8-14 points
17.8%
SA By 1-7 points
23.6%
SA By 8-14 points
12.9%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
118.09
NEW YORK
San Antonio
116.56
SAN ANTONIO
Simulated Score
New York
NEW YORK
San Antonio
SAN ANTONIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knicks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knicks (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.5
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 234.7
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 13, 2026
NY @ SA
94 - 90
Jun 10, 2026
SA @ NY
106 - 107
Jun 8, 2026
SA @ NY
115 - 111
Jun 5, 2026
NY @ SA
105 - 104
Jun 3, 2026
NY @ SA
105 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+29.8% more
New York: 5.2
vs
San Antonio: 3.7
Steals (L5)
+9.7% more
New York: 9.7
vs
San Antonio: 8.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.6%
New York: 86.6%
vs
San Antonio: 79.0%
Assists (L5)
+8.0% more
San Antonio: 28.8
vs
New York: 26.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
118.1
105
SA Score
116.6
120
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.9 / 40.7
45.7 / 29.7
Assists
28.8 / 26.6
28.0 / 28.0
Blocks
3.7 / 5.2
7.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
48.8 / 46.7
50.0 / 42.4
Free Throw %
79.0 / 86.6
70.0 / 76.2
Rebounding
40.4 / 43.3
52.0 / 44.0
Steals
8.8 / 9.7
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
13.7 / 14.2
15.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SA
NY
SA
NY
ML
60%
111-73
61%
114-72
58%
61-44
56%
57-45
ATS
58%
107-76-1
67%
124-62
58%
61-44
56%
57-45
TTL
74%
134-47-3
72%
133-53
100%
105-0
100%
102-0
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