PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
23-46 | Road
120
SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
29-39 | Home
128
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
0%
SPURS
100%
76ERS
--
SPURS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
234.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.1
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.1 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHI -4.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
PHI By 1-7 points
27.4%
PHI By 8-14 points
21.8%
SA By 1-7 points
19.9%
SA By 8-14 points
9.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
119.08
PHILADELPHIA
San Antonio
114.94
SAN ANTONIO
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
PHILADELPHIA
San Antonio
SAN ANTONIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
76ers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
76ers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.1
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 234.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 6, 2026
PHI @ SA
102 - 115
Mar 3, 2026
SA @ PHI
131 - 91
Mar 21, 2025
PHI @ SA
120 - 128
Dec 23, 2024
SA @ PHI
106 - 111
Apr 7, 2024
PHI @ SA
133 - 126
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+9.5% more
Philadelphia: 9.1
vs
San Antonio: 8.2
Assists (L5)
+30.3% more
San Antonio: 28.5
vs
Philadelphia: 21.9
Rebounding (L5)
+12.6% more
San Antonio: 44.3
vs
Philadelphia: 39.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.7%
San Antonio: 41.8%
vs
Philadelphia: 36.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
119.1
120
SA Score
114.9
128
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.8 / 36.1
48.7 / 37.8
Assists
28.5 / 21.9
36.0 / 30.0
Blocks
4.8 / 4.6
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
49.2 / 44.7
52.8 / 56.8
Free Throw %
76.0 / 74.6
83.3 / 70.0
Rebounding
44.3 / 39.4
34.0 / 32.0
Steals
8.2 / 9.1
11.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
14.1 / 13.2
15.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SA
PHI
SA
PHI
ML
60%
111-73
63%
69-40
58%
61-44
48%
45-48
ATS
58%
107-76-1
65%
71-38
58%
61-44
48%
45-48
TTL
74%
134-47-3
55%
60-49
100%
105-0
100%
93-0
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