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WASHINGTON

WIZARDSWSH

15-56  |  Road

119
FINAL
Wed, Mar 26 • 7:00 PM ET
Wells Fargo Center
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

23-49  |  Home

114
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
📊
76ERS
0%
WIZARDS --
76ERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.1
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.1 points (Philadelphia)
WizardsWSH (-3.5) 0 76ersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wizards Cover

9.5%

76ers Cover

90.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHI -13.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

WSH By 1-7 points

6.7%

WSH By 8-14 points

1.7%

PHI By 1-7 points

18.4%

PHI By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
104.72
WASHINGTON
117.82
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
WASHINGTON
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI 76ers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI 76ers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.1
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 222.5
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 1, 2026 PHI @ WSH 153 - 131
Jan 7, 2026 WSH @ PHI 110 - 131
Dec 2, 2025 WSH @ PHI 102 - 121
Oct 28, 2025 PHI @ WSH 139 - 134
Apr 9, 2025 PHI @ WSH 122 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +5.6%
Philadelphia: 79.1% vs Washington: 73.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +1.8%
Philadelphia: 34.6% vs Washington: 32.8%
Field Goal % (L5) +1.7%
Philadelphia: 44.5% vs Washington: 42.7%
Blocks (L5) +23.3% more
Washington: 6.3 vs Philadelphia: 4.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WSH Score 104.7 119
PHI Score 117.8 114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.6 / 32.8 30.4 / 40.9
Assists 22.6 / 24.6 22.0 / 30.0
Blocks 4.8 / 6.3 5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 44.5 / 42.7 42.9 / 50.5
Free Throw % 79.1 / 73.5 80.0 / 41.7
Rebounding 37.0 / 44.2 47.0 / 49.0
Steals 9.6 / 9.1 7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 13.8 / 16.7 5.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0 (20.7%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0 (40.2%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7% Total +/-: +3.3
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
WSH
PHI
WSH
ML
63% 69-40
70% 112-49
48% 45-48
47% 39-44
ATS
65% 71-38
69% 111-49-1
48% 45-48
47% 39-44
TTL
55% 60-49
74% 119-41-1
100% 93-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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