SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
31-40 | Road
116
CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
58-14 | Home
124
AI Model Win Probability
SPURS
100%
CAVALIERS
0%
SPURS
--
CAVALIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
236.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.9
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.9 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLE -5.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
SA By 1-7 points
17.2%
SA By 8-14 points
7.0%
CLE By 1-7 points
26.9%
CLE By 8-14 points
24.1%
AI Model Projected Score
San Antonio
115.32
SAN ANTONIO
Cleveland
121.18
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
San Antonio
SAN ANTONIO
Cleveland
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.9
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 236.5
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 29, 2025
CLE @ SA
113 - 101
Dec 5, 2025
SA @ CLE
117 - 130
Apr 4, 2025
CLE @ SA
114 - 113
Mar 27, 2025
SA @ CLE
116 - 124
Feb 3, 2024
CLE @ SA
117 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+14.7% more
Cleveland: 4.8
vs
San Antonio: 4.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.4%
Cleveland: 49.5%
vs
San Antonio: 45.1%
Steals (L5)
+27.2% more
San Antonio: 9.7
vs
Cleveland: 7.1
Turnovers (L5)
+12.6% more
San Antonio: 13.2
vs
Cleveland: 11.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SA Score
115.3
116
CLE Score
121.2
124
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.6 / 37.5
35.4 / 32.6
Assists
26.6 / 26.8
33.0 / 27.0
Blocks
4.8 / 4.2
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
49.5 / 45.1
46.5 / 40.6
Free Throw %
76.1 / 80.3
83.3 / 76.2
Rebounding
43.2 / 42.1
56.0 / 50.0
Steals
7.1 / 9.7
7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 13.2
14.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
CLE
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
SA
CLE
SA
ML
60%
69-46
60%
111-73
56%
55-44
58%
61-44
ATS
67%
75-37-3
58%
107-76-1
56%
55-44
58%
61-44
TTL
59%
68-47
74%
134-47-3
100%
99-0
100%
105-0
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