NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

45-27  |  Road

116
FINAL
Fri, Mar 28 • 8:00 PM ET
Fiserv Forum
View Odds Details →

MILWAUKEE

BUCKSMIL

40-32  |  Home

107
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
📊
BUCKS
100%
KNICKS --
BUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
221.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.3
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.3 points (New York)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 BucksMIL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

70.1%

Bucks Cover

29.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -5.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

NY By 1-7 points

27.2%

NY By 8-14 points

23.4%

MIL By 1-7 points

18.1%

MIL By 8-14 points

7.7%

AI Model Projected Score
113.43
NEW YORK
108.17
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
NEW YORK
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knicks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Knicks (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.3
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 221.6
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 27, 2026 NY @ MIL 127 - 98
Nov 28, 2025 MIL @ NY 109 - 118
Oct 28, 2025 NY @ MIL 111 - 121
Mar 28, 2025 NY @ MIL 116 - 107
Jan 12, 2025 MIL @ NY 106 - 140
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +22.1% more
New York: 32.8 vs Milwaukee: 25.5
Turnovers (L5) +19.1% more
New York: 12.3 vs Milwaukee: 10.0
Free Throw % (L5) +3.6%
New York: 74.9% vs Milwaukee: 71.3%
Field Goal % (L5) +1.6%
New York: 50.0% vs Milwaukee: 48.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 113.4 116
MIL Score 108.2 107
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.8 / 36.6 39.4 / 36.4
Assists 25.5 / 32.8 24.0 / 28.0
Blocks 3.8 / 3.0 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 48.4 / 50.0 54.7 / 48.4
Free Throw % 71.3 / 74.9 63.2 / 87.5
Rebounding 39.1 / 40.3 32.0 / 44.0
Steals 7.7 / 7.9 2.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 10.0 / 12.3 16.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
MIL
32-50-0 (39.0%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
MIL
36-46-0 (43.9%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4% Total +/-: +1.4