CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
61-15 | Road
114
SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
32-44 | Home
113
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
0%
SPURS
100%
CAVALIERS
--
SPURS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
231.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.3
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.3 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CLE -6.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CLE By 1-7 points
26.7%
CLE By 8-14 points
24.7%
SA By 1-7 points
16.4%
SA By 8-14 points
6.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
118.65
CLEVELAND
San Antonio
112.31
SAN ANTONIO
Simulated Score
Cleveland
CLEVELAND
San Antonio
SAN ANTONIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.3
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 29, 2025
CLE @ SA
113 - 101
Dec 5, 2025
SA @ CLE
117 - 130
Apr 4, 2025
CLE @ SA
114 - 113
Mar 27, 2025
SA @ CLE
116 - 124
Feb 3, 2024
CLE @ SA
117 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+21.7% more
Cleveland: 8.5
vs
San Antonio: 6.7
Blocks (L5)
+8.8% more
Cleveland: 4.2
vs
San Antonio: 3.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.7%
Cleveland: 80.5%
vs
San Antonio: 73.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.5%
Cleveland: 50.2%
vs
San Antonio: 45.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
118.7
114
SA Score
112.3
113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.5 / 34.3
33.3 / 43.1
Assists
26.6 / 25.9
27.0 / 31.0
Blocks
3.8 / 4.2
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.7 / 50.2
43.6 / 47.1
Free Throw %
73.9 / 80.5
78.9 / 71.4
Rebounding
43.1 / 44.8
44.0 / 44.0
Steals
6.7 / 8.5
9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 12.4
12.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SA
CLE
SA
CLE
ML
60%
111-73
60%
69-46
58%
61-44
56%
55-44
ATS
58%
107-76-1
67%
75-37-3
58%
61-44
56%
55-44
TTL
74%
134-47-3
59%
68-47
100%
105-0
100%
99-0
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Takes Blame for Thunder's Game 7 Loss, B…
Wallabies Select Suaalii on Wing, Henry to Debut in Bledisloe Cu…
Tampa Bay Rays Expected to Exercise $13 Million Club Option on Y…